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HOME›TEAMS›HOUSTON›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|DANA HOLGORSEN|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
HOUSTON53 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
58FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#501 BC / 14
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs6.7-5.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.7
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE85
PERFORMANCE85
TALENT59
CONTINUITY11
DEFENSE47
PERFORMANCE47
TALENT52
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AUTSA—W 37-35466464-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10ATEXAS TECH—L 30-33696969-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HKANSAS—L 30-48505454+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HRICE—W 34-27281212+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HTULANE#9L 24-27477979-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AMEMPHIS—W 33-32476363-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ANAVY—W 38-2002929+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 42-275199+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ASMU—L 63-77555858-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HTEMPLE—W 43-36452020+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AEAST CAROLINA—W 42-3424848+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HTULSA—L 30-37403434+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23HLOUISIANA—W 23-16345252+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB74TAL62PERF74RET99ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
CLAYTON TUNEQB SERET
★3—9999%+21—
3
LUCAS COLEYQB SONO SNAPS
★3★361%—HELD
14
IKE OGBOGUQB SERET
★2—00%——
19
HOLMAN EDWARDSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
ROMAN MULAQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
JETT HUFFQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB46TAL68PERF46RET31ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
STACY SNEEDRB SERET
★3—8233%+39—
4
TA'ZHAWN HENRYRB SERET
★3—8031%+34—
23
BRANDON CAMPBELLRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—8031%-13—
29
KELAN WALKERRB SERET
★3—445%+23—
26
JAMES FULLBRIGHT IIIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
22
ALTON MCCASKILLRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE57TAL53PERF57RET47ONE OWNERn=5 · 7 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
NATHANIEL DELLWR JURET
★2—10031%+34—
2
MATTHEW GOLDENWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★48919%+24HELD
11
SAMUEL BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—8919%-4—
8
KESEAN CARTERWR SERET
★3★38818%+13HELD
85
MATT BYRNESTE JURET
UNR★36690%—EMERGED
14
JOSEPH MANJACK IVWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3637%-16HELD
83
PEYTON SAWYERWR SERET
★3—493%+23—
17
KHIYON WAFERWR FRRET
★3★3391%—HELD
7
CJ NELSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3331%—HELD
2
CODY JACKSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3331%—FELL
89
LOGAN COMPTONTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3269%—HELD
80
JA'KORI MORGANWR JURET
★3—70%——
87
BRYAN HENRYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★341%—HELD
85
CHRISTIAN TRAHANTE SERET
★3—00%-26—
84
BRICE JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
19
C.J. GUIDRYWR FRRET
★3—00%——
88
TRENT MCGAUGHEYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
ANTHONY GANGI JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
CASH WALKERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
86
DARSON HERMANTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
IVAN AUTENREITHTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL70TAL60PERF70RET19n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL64TAL71PERF64RET89n=10 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸LB61TAL53PERF61RET67n=7 · 11 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸DB44TAL40PERF44RET84n=10 · 6 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATTHEW GOLDENHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DEMETRIUS HUNTERHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TRENT MCGAUGHEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
QUARDALE PATTHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CJ NELSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
A.J. HOLMES JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TREYLIN PAYNEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TEVIN SHAWHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DORIAN FRIENDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KARSON JONESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN CARMOUCHEARKANSAS STATELB★3UNR
JEREMY SINGLETONGEORGIA SOUTHERNWR★3★3
KODY RUSSEYELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
ALEXANDER DUKEELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
JAKE HERSLOWELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DAVID ANENIHELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
PARKER EICHENBERGERELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
MARCUS JONESELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
COLE MCGOWANELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
SHANE CREAMERELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#50NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8640COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE