SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›IOWA STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|MATT CAMPBELL|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
IOWA STATE38 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
63FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#551 BC / 19
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs7.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.3
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 8AIOWA#25L 3-13708383-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HOKLAHOMA#4L 27-37939898-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HAKRON—W 26-132088+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29ATCU—L 14-17786767+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AOKLAHOMA STATE—W 48-42748484-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HWEST VIRGINIA#20W 30-14748282-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HTEXAS TECH—W 40-31587272-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AKANSAS—W 27-3482323+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HBAYLOR—W 28-14774949+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ATEXAS#9L 10-24947676-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HKANSAS STATE—W 42-38554141+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HDRAKE—W 27-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET66NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
KYLE KEMPTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
ZEB NOLANDQB SORET
★3—00%——
15
BROCK PURDYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
DEVON MOOREQB —RET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET89NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
SHELDON CRONEY JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
DAVID MONTGOMERYRB JURET
★3—00%——
2
JOHNNIE LANGRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
KENE NWANGWURB SERET
★3—00%——
6
RORY WALLINGRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
MIKE WARRENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
43
CHRISTOPHER WOODALLRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
CHASE ALLENTE SERET
★3—00%——
31
CONNER GREENETE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
DESHAUNTE JONESWR SERET
★3—00%——
47
SAM SEONBUCHNERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
23
MATTHEW EATONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
HAKEEM BUTLERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
39
ZACH SILBERMANNTE SORET
UNR—00%——
4
JOSH JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
LANDEN AKERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
DYLAN SOEHNERTE SERET
★3—00%——
88
CHARLIE KOLARTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
TARIQUE MILTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
CARSON EPPSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
DARIC WHIPPLEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JALEN MARTINWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
PARKER RICKERTWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
44
DAN SICHTERMANTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
45
BEN LATUSEKTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
DARREN WILSON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
GAGE GUNNERSONTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
ZACH SHIPMANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
CARSON SCHLEKERWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
45
GAREK HURDTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
MORGAN BARTMANTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
COLE ANDERSONTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSEPH SCATESHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
SEAN SHAW JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOEY RAMOSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TREVOR DOWNINGHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
WILL MCDONALD IVHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JAEVEYON MORTONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BROCK PURDYHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
MICHAEL ROSEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ISAIAH LEEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
RE-AL MITCHELLHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROMELO WEBSTERALABAMA STATEDB★3UNR
REGGIE WILKERSONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EVRETT EDWARDSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JOEL LANNINGNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
KAMARI COTTON-MOYANOT LISTEDDBUNR—
J.D. WAGGONERNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
ROBBY GARCIANOT LISTEDOLUNR—
VERNELL TRENTNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
MARCHIE MURDOCKNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MACKENRO ALEXANDERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#55NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8500COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST66% BACK66th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG66% BACK66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR66%66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE