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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›IOWA STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG 12|MATT CAMPBELL|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
IOWA STATE22 FPIB12 · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
60FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#462 BC / 24
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.0-4.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HNORTHERN IOWA—W 29-26————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HIOWA#15L 17-18698585-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HUL MONROE—W 72-20151616+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28ABAYLOR#13L 21-23758787-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HTCU—W 49-24796868+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AWEST VIRGINIA—W 38-14712525+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ATEXAS TECH—W 34-24576060+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HOKLAHOMA STATE—L 27-34727373+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AOKLAHOMA#7L 41-42959595-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HTEXAS#25W 23-21968181+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HKANSAS—W 41-31472121+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AKANSAS STATE—L 17-27486666+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET61NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
RE-AL MITCHELLQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
BLAKE CLARKQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
BROCK PURDYQB SERET
★3—00%——
18
DEVIN LARSENQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
5
JOHN KOLARQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET25NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
BREECE HALLRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
25
SHELDON CRONEY JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
JOHNNIE LANGRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
KENE NWANGWURB SERET
★3—00%——
6
RORY WALLINGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
JIREHL BROCKRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
16
ANSWER GAYERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
LEVI HUMMELRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
CHASE ALLENTE SERET
★3—00%——
7
LA'MICHAEL PETTWAYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
CONNER GREENETE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
DESHAUNTE JONESWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
LANDEN AKERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
DYLAN SOEHNERTE SERET
★3—00%——
88
CHARLIE KOLARTE SERET
★3—00%——
16
TARIQUE MILTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JOSEPH SCATESWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
43
JARED RUSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
SEAN SHAW JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
DARREN WILSON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
DARIC WHIPPLEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
JALEN MARTINWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
PARKER RICKERTWR SERET
★2—00%——
44
DAN SICHTERMANTE JURET
★3—00%——
45
BEN LATUSEKTE JURET
UNR—00%——
19
BEAU COBERLEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
EZERIAH ANDERSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
87
EASTON DEANTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
SKYLAR LOVING-BLACKTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
LEONARD GLASSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
GAGE GUNNERSONTE SORET
UNR—00%——
87
RYAN PRITCHARDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
JACOB HILLMANNTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JOE SCATESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JIREHL BROCKHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
BREECE HALLHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
BLAKE PETERSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
ISHEEM YOUNGHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DARIEN PORTERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GRANT TREIBERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
COREY SUTTLEHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
EASTON DEANHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JARROD HUFFORDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SKYLAR LOVING-BLACKHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH JOHNSONTULSAWR★3UNR
HAKEEM BUTLERNFL DRAFT R4WRUNR—
DAVID MONTGOMERYNFL DRAFT R3RB★3—
KYLE KEMPTELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
D'ANDRE PAYNEELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DE'MONTE RUTHELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
REGGAN NORTHRUPELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BRIAN PEAVYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
WILLIE HARVEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CHRIS FRANCISELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#46NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8511COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST47% BACK47th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG47% BACK47th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR61%61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE