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HOME›TEAMS›IOWA STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|MATT CAMPBELL|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
IOWA STATE41 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
54FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#392 BC / 20
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs6.0-6.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-6
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE41
PERFORMANCE41
TALENT71
CONTINUITY13
DEFENSE92
PERFORMANCE92
TALENT58
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
74MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE—W 42-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10AIOWA—W 10-7748080-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HOHIO—W 43-10153535+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HBAYLOR—L 24-31717878-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AKANSAS—L 11-14505454+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HKANSAS STATE#14L 9-10539494-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ATEXAS#25L 21-24969595-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HOKLAHOMA—L 13-27948686-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HWEST VIRGINIA—W 31-14695252+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AOKLAHOMA STATE—L 14-20727777-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HTEXAS TECH—L 10-14696969-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ATCU#2L 14-62779696-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL88PERF53RET96ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
HUNTER DEKKERSQB JURET
★4—9696%+24—
3
ROCCO BECHTQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★4263%—ROSE
18
ASHTON COOKQB FRRET
UNR—81%——
10
BLAKE CLARKQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
NATE GLANTZQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
▾RB42TAL73PERF42RET73ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JIREHL BROCKRB SERET
★4—8538%-31—
5
CARTEVIOUS NORTONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★37727%-35HELD
22
DEON SILASRB SORET
★3★37121%+15HELD
1
ELI SANDERSRB SERET
★3★36114%-45HELD
38
LEVI HUMMELRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
BLAZE DOXZONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
42
TREY MATHISRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE42TAL73PERF44RET77ROTATIONn=7 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
XAVIER HUTCHINSONWR SERET
UNR—9832%+33—
13
JAYLIN NOELWR SERET
★3—9627%-8—
14
DIMITRI STANLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9225%-24—
87
EASTON DEANTE SERET
★3—8132%-19—
43
JARED RUSTE SERET
UNR—7628%+9—
18
DESHAWN HANIKATE SERET
UNR★37627%+53EMERGED
5
SEAN SHAW JR.WR SERET
★3★3607%+29HELD
49
STEVO KLOTZTE SERET
UNR—508%——
17
DARREN WILSON JR.WR SERET
UNR—504%-57—
85
AIDAN BITTERWR JURET
★3★3473%—HELD
82
TYLER MOORETE SERET
★3—394%——
8
GREG GAINES IIIWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3221%—FELL
19
BEAU COBERLEYWR SERET
UNR—201%——
16
DANIEL JACKSONWR SERET
★3★3180%—HELD
11
JASON ESSEXWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3180%—HELD
80
TRISTAN MICHAUDWR FRRET
★3★3180%—HELD
84
GABE BURKLETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3131%—HELD
86
JACOB HILLMANNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
QUARON ADAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
5
TERRELL CROSBY JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
ANDREW KELLERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
CARSON BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
45
KEVIN SAWITZKETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
JACK BJORNTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
TY CLAIBORNEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL50TAL67PERF50RET38n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL50TAL66PERF50RET73n=8 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
▸LB58TAL56PERF59RET71n=6 · 11 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB58TAL55PERF58RET77n=11 · 6 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HUNTER DEYOHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
GREG GAINES IIIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JACOB IMMINGHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DOMONIQUE ORANGEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ANDREW KELLERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JASON ESSEXHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ROCCO BECHTHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TREVON HOWARDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WILL MCLAUGHLINHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CARTEVIOUS NORTONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DATRONE YOUNGDUKEDB★3UNR
MICHAL ANTOINE JR.FLORIDA ATLANTICDB★3UNR
TARIQUE MILTONTEXASWR★3UNR
JOSEPH SCATESMEMPHISWR★4UNR
JAQUAN AMOSBALL STATES★2★3
EZERIAH ANDERSONCAMPBELLWR★3★3
COREY SUTTLEMIAMI (OH)DL★3UNR
ISHEEM YOUNGOLE MISSDB★3★3
VIRDEL EDWARDS IIHAWAI'IDB★3UNR
JORDYN MORGANUNLVDB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#39NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8667COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST22% BACK22th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG22% BACK22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR38%38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST77%77th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE