SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›JAMES MADISON›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SUN BELT|BOB CHESNEY|—RECORD12-2|CONF—
JAMES MADISON#19 AP 27 FPISBC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
8FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
49%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
66%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1080 BC / 20
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs11.5-1.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+21.5
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE57
PERFORMANCE57
TALENT47
CONTINUITY49
DEFENSE81
PERFORMANCE81
TALENT57
CONTINUITY66
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HWEBER STATE—W 45-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 5ALOUISVILLE—L 14-28648282-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20ALIBERTY—W 31-13392525+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 35-10332424+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AGEORGIA STATE—W 14-74522+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HLOUISIANA—W 24-14342323+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HOLD DOMINION—W 63-27126464+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10OCT 28ATEXAS STATE—W 52-20455353+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AMARSHALL—W 35-23363737+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HAPP STATE—W 58-10431919+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HWASHINGTON STATE—W 24-20315656+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 59-10421111+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 5HTROY—W 31-14283636+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 20AOREGON#4L 34-51979898-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL65PERF53RET96ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 11 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
ALONZA BARNETT IIIQB SERET
★3★39096%+8HELD
9
MATTHEW SLUKAQB SEPORTAL · UNLV
UNR★3324%-7EMERGED
1
JC EVANSQB SORET
★3—50%——
15
BLAKE KENDALLQB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
CAMDEN COLEMANQB JUPORTAL · RICHMOND
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB57TAL63PERF57RET86ONE OWNERn=5 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
WAYNE KNIGHTRB SERET
UNR★39959%+27EMERGED
6
GEORGE PETTAWAYRB SERET
★4★36714%+22FELL
23
JORDAN FULLERRB SEPORTAL · HOLY CROSS
UNR★36614%+8EMERGED
28
JOBI MALARYRB SERET
★2★2568%+33HELD
25
AYO ADEYIRB SERET
UNR★3464%+29EMERGED
21
JACKSON MCCARTERRB FRTRUE FR
★3—131%——
22
TRASHON DYERB SORET
★3—60%——
29
TRE LEONARDRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE52TAL55PERF54RET27ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
LACOTA DIPPRETE SEPORTAL · CHARLOTTE
UNR★39441%+17EMERGED
11
NICK DEGENNAROWR SEPORTAL · RICHMOND
★3★39329%+29HELD
89
JOSH PHIFERTE JURET
★3★39035%+4HELD
11
LANDON ELLISWR SEPORTAL · RICHMOND
UNR★38421%+33EMERGED
0
JAYLAN SANCHEZWR SEPORTAL · VILLANOVA
UNR★38221%+2EMERGED
18
LOGAN KYLETE SERET
★3★37722%-7HELD
10
BRAEDEN WISLOSKIWR SEPORTAL · MARYLAND
★3★37314%+20HELD
12
ZA'RON COLLINSWR JUPORTAL · GREENEVILLE
★3★3575%-27HELD
17
MICHAEL SCOTTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—565%-10—
8
ISAIAH ALSTONWR SEPORTAL · IOWA STATE
UNR★3565%+34EMERGED
84
BRIAN HNATTE FRTRUE FR
★3—291%——
85
RYDER POSTTE SORET
UNR—171%——
2
JAYDEN MINESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
DYLAN WILLIAMSWR SORET
★3—00%-41—
83
CHASE MILLERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
ARRION CONCEPCIONWR FRPORTAL · KANSAS STATE
★3★300%—HELD
86
ETHAN GURELATE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
JAMARCUS SMITH JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
43
MILES HALBERTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
CHASE PENSYLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL50TAL49PERF51RET52n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL72TAL57PERF72RET63n=9 · 7 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB67TAL45PERF67RET73n=4 · 10 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB62TAL59PERF62RET66n=8 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROY'MARR THOMASHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JD DEANHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MICHAEL SCOTTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JERALD JAMESHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JAMARCUS SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRIAN HNATHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JACKSON MCCARTERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SETH GATHERSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRE LEONARDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
COLE WEBSTERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATTHEW SLUKAUNLVQBUNR★3
ELIJAH CULPCHARLOTTECBUNR★3
JAYDEN STUDIOKENT STATELB★3★3
ISAIAH ALSTONIOWA STATEWRUNR★3
CAMDEN COLEMANRICHMONDQBUNR★3
TURNER SCHMIDTROBERT MORRISEDGE★2★3
JAMES POGORELCDUKEOT★4★3
JAYLAN SANCHEZVILLANOVAWRUNR★3
LACOTA DIPPRECHARLOTTEEDGEUNR★3
ZACH GREENBERGNORTH CAROLINAIOLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT41 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JESSE RAMILCHARLOTTEOLUNR★3
ERIC O'NEILLRUTGERSDL★3★3
CAM ROSSVIRGINIAWR★3★3
YAMIR KNIGHTSMUWRUNR★3
CHAUNCEY LOGAN JR.MEMPHISCBUNR★3
DAROLD DENGOHERUTGERSDLUNR★3
QUINCY JENKINSWESTERN KENTUCKYOLUNR★3
BILLY ATKINSSOUTH CAROLINA STATEQBUNRUNR
MAXWELL MOSSHAMPTONWRUNRUNR
KE'MARION BALDWINCHARLESTON SOUTHERNRBUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES10%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS74%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#108NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8429COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2926 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST91% BACK91th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG91% BACK91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR52%52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST66%66th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE