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HOME›TEAMS›KANSAS›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG 12|LANCE LEIPOLD|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
KANSAS51 FPIB12 · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
46%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
44%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#720 BC / 15
BC RATIO
10%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.3-5.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE87
PERFORMANCE87
TALENT60
CONTINUITY46
DEFENSE38
PERFORMANCE38
TALENT63
CONTINUITY44
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 23HFRESNO STATE—W 31-7355151+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1AUG 29HWAGNER—W 46-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6AMISSOURI—L 31-42858585-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HWEST VIRGINIA—W 41-10553232+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HCINCINNATI—L 34-37475959-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AUCF—W 27-20694444+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11ATEXAS TECH#7L 17-42809999-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HKANSAS STATE—L 17-42667070-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 38-21651111+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AARIZONA—L 20-24528080-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AIOWA STATE—L 14-38497676-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28HUTAH#14L 21-31699595-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB70TAL26PERF70RET99ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JALON DANIELSQB SERET
★3—8593%+19—
15
COLE BALLARDQB JURET
UNR—396%-12—
8
ISAIAH MARSHALLQB SORET
★3—141%——
14
MIKEY PAULEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
16
DAVID MCCOMBQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB58TAL43PERF59RET64ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DANIEL HISHAW JR.RB SERET
★3—8849%+27—
4
LESHON WILLIAMSRB SEPORTAL · IOWA
★3★38035%-27HELD
27
HARRY STEWART IIIRB SORET
★3★3559%-35HELD
20
JOHNNY THOMPSON JR.RB JURET
★3★3435%+3HELD
25
JUSTIN THURMANRB FRTRUE FR
★3—111%——
24
JOHN KELLYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
22
MICAH JOHNSONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
38
JACK SCHNEIDERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE76TAL67PERF73RET10ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
BODEN GROENTE SEPORTAL · RICE
UNR★39251%+12EMERGED
2
EMMANUEL HENDERSON JR.WR SEPORTAL · ALABAMA
★4★39131%+22FELL
7
CAM PICKETTWR SEPORTAL · BALL STATE
★3★38022%+12HELD
10
LEVI WENTZWR SEPORTAL · ALBANY
★3★37719%+33HELD
44
CARSON BRUHNTE SORET
★3—6922%——
3
KEATON KUBECKAWR JURET
★3—6712%-22—
11
BRYSON CANTYWR SEPORTAL · COLUMBIA
UNR★3639%+5EMERGED
87
LEYTON CURETE SERET
UNR—6215%-8—
18
DESHAWN HANIKATE SERET
UNR★3559%+47EMERGED
5
DOUG EMILIENWR SERET
★3—504%-36—
19
JADEN HAMMTE SERET
★3★3262%—HELD
11
TATE NAGYWR SONO SNAPS
★3—181%——
13
BRYCE COHOONWR SORET
★3★3181%—HELD
80
MACK MOELLERWR SERET
UNR—140%——
12
BRYSON HAYESWR FRTRUE FR
★3—140%——
81
QUINTON CONLEYTE SERET
★3—91%——
19
JAIDYN DOSSWR SOPORTAL · NEBRASKA
★3★300%—HELD
84
JADEN NICKENSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
ISREAL MOSES VWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
JACKSON COOKWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
86
DONALD COLLIERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
CONLEE HOVEYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL66TAL63PERF66RET60n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL62TAL54PERF62RET62n=5 · 7 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸LB56TAL67PERF56RET4n=8 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB51TAL70PERF51RET44n=10 · 6 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS MCCORKLEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DAVID MCCOMBHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
MALACHI CURVEYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JADEN NICKENSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ADRIAN HOLLEYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JOHN KELLYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JUSTIN THURMANHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BRYSON HAYESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSIAH HAMMONDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DARRION JONESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EMMANUEL HENDERSON JR.ALABAMAWR★4★3
BANGALLY KAMARASOUTH CAROLINALB★3★3
BRYSON CANTYCOLUMBIAWRUNR★3
JAHLIL HURLEYALABAMACB★4★3
SYEED GIBBSGEORGIA TECHCBUNR★3
BODEN GROENRICETEUNR★3
JUSTICE FINKLEYTEXASEDGE★4★3
JACK TANNERTULSAOT★3★3
TREY LATHANWEST VIRGINIALB★3★3
TAVAKE TUIKOLOVATUUCLAOT★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT38 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ WARNERSMULB★4★3
BAI JOBEMIAMI (OH)DL★4★3
DAMARIUS MCGHEEFLORIDA ATLANTICDB★4★4
KALEB PURDYTENNESSEE TECHDB★3★3
BRIAN DILWORTHNORTH ALABAMADB★3★3
BRYCE CABELDUENFL DRAFT R6OL★3—
DEVIN NEALNFL DRAFT R6RB★3—
O.J. BURROUGHSELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
MELLO DOTSONELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
COBEE BRYANTELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES60%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS96%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#72NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8652COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2717 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST51% BACK51th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG51% BACK51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR60%60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST44%44th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE