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HOME›TEAMS›KENT STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|SEAN LEWIS|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
KENT STATE96 FPIMAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
11FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1020 BC / 24
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs5.1-6.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.7
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29AARIZONA STATE—L 7-30776767-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HKENNESAW STATE—W 26-233———NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AAUBURN#14L 16-55919494-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HBOWLING GREEN—W 62-201222+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AWISCONSIN#11L 0-48779292-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AAKRON—W 26-31011+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AOHIO—L 38-45156363-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HMIAMI (OH)—L 16-23182222-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 5ATOLEDO—L 33-35341212+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14HBUFFALO—W 30-2794646-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HBALL STATE—W 41-38133434-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 34-26122222-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
DUSTIN CRUMQB SERET
★2—00%——
15
WOODY BARRETTQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
10
PYRCE TAYLORQB JURET
UNR—00%——
17
MARQUEZ GLOVERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
9
COLLIN SCHLEEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET58NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
WILL MATTHEWSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
CRAIG ELMORERB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
33
JO-EL SHAWRB SERET
★3—00%——
28
JOACHIM BANGDARB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
XAVIER WILLIAMSRB SERET
★2—00%——
31
BRYAN BRADFORDRB JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
33
JO-EL SHAWRB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
KAVIOUS PRICEWR SERET
★2—00%——
11
MIKE CARRIGANWR SERET
★2—00%——
10
JAVAUGHN WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
DANTE CEPHASWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
ANTWAN DIXONWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
23
ISAIAH MCKOYWR JURET
★3—00%——
3
JA'SHAUN POKEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
KESHUNN ABRAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
45
ADAM DULKATE SERET
UNR—00%——
12
RAYMOND JAMESWR SERET
★2—00%——
6
ISAAC VANCEWR SERET
★2—00%——
13
KEENAN ORRTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
KRIS LEACHTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
KWINCY HALLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
KEKE MCFADDENWR JURET
★3—00%——
86
MARK WILLIAMSTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
TROY DURDENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
HAYDEN JUNKERTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
86
JUSTIN HARTZELLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
8
ISAIAH WOODENWR JURET
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRYCE CHILDRESSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JOACHIM BANGDAHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
NICK CURTISHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
MARIO NUNEZHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
COLLIN SCHLEEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
MIKE MCNICHOLASHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
GLENN HAYESHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DEAN CLARKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
PRINCE OKITUAMAHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DANTE CEPHASHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QUAN ROBINSON JR.ELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JORDAN SILVAELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
RAEKWON JAMESELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
KALIL MORRISELIGIBILITY UPNTUNR—
ZAQUON TYSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JUANTEZ MCRAEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JIM JONESELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DARRYL MARSHALLELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
THEO EBOIGBEELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
JOHNNY WOODSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#102NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8035COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE