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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›KENT STATE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|KENNI BURNS|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
KENT STATE133 FPIMAC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
40%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
66%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1230 BC / 14
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs1.4-10.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-19.9
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT31
CONTINUITY40
DEFENSE0
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT48
CONTINUITY66
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AUCF—L 6-56625858-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AARKANSAS—L 6-28775959-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HCENTRAL CONNECTICUT—W 38-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23AFRESNO STATE—L 10-53445555-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMIAMI (OH)—L 3-23215656-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AOHIO—L 17-42124747-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 14-28161818-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HBUFFALO—L 6-2481111-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AAKRON—L 27-312622-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HBOWLING GREEN—L 19-49182929-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ABALL STATE—L 3-34201111-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 27-37133030-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB18TAL53PERF18RET50ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
MICHAEL ALAIMOQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★37050%-35FELL
17
TOMMY ULATOWSKIQB SERET
★2★36638%-24ROSE
15
DEVIN KARGMANQB JURET
★3★34512%-43HELD
13
JAREN LEWISQB SOPORTAL · KANSAS STATE
★3★300%—HELD
17
GRIFFIN BREWSTERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
DRU DESHIELDSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB30TAL16PERF30RET43ROTATIONn=3 · 4 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
GAVIN GARCIARB JURET
★3★38044%-26HELD
23
JAYLEN THOMASRB SENO SNAPS
★2—7842%-14—
2
XAVIER WILLIAMSRB SERET
★2—5312%+17—
24
CURTIS DOUGLASRB FRTRUE FR
★3★3212%—HELD
84
JAHZAE KIMBROUGHRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—191%——
40
DANIEL BANGURARB SERET
UNR—00%+39—
20
MARQUES HICKSRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
89
PRESTON TAYLORRB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
DOMINQUE HILLRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL49PERF44RET47ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
DJ MILLERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—9123%——
LUKE FLORIEAWR SERET
★3—9030%-5—
88
JUSTIN HOLMESTE SERET
★3★38960%+14HELD
18
JAMEEL GARDNER JR.WR SERET
★3—8425%0—
11
TRELL HARRISWR SERET
★2★47720%+8ROSE
13
CHRISHON MCCRAYWR SERET
★2★27619%+32HELD
87
HAYDEN JUNKERTE SERET
★2—7337%-37—
JACK COULSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—423%——
18
TREY ECHOLSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—382%——
19
PEYTON FAULKNERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—191%——
80
TYLER DOSTINTE SORET
★3★3131%—HELD
81
DASH DORSEYWR SONO SNAPS
★3—130%——
26
J.B. AWOLOWOWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
19
ALI FISHERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
ISAIAH BATTONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JARED KELLEYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL22TAL24PERF22RET27n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL23TAL60PERF23RET62n=10 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB21TAL31PERF21RET56n=8 · 9 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB27TAL52PERF27RET81n=6 · 6 METRICS · 35 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JARED KELLEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DASH DORSEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DRU DESHIELDSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JOEL BOAMAHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHRIS FARRELLHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
KADEN BEATTYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
FREDDIE LENIX JR.HS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ANDREW PAGEHS RECRUITIOL★2UNR
MARQUES HICKSHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
ANTONIO SANDEL-BASCOMBHS RECRUITDL★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAREN LEWISKANSAS STATEQB★3★3
DEVIN NICHOLSONMISSOURILB★3★3
KY THOMASKANSASRBUNR★3
DALLAS CRADDIETHIOWAS★3★3
JIMTO OBIDEGWUTEMPLEOT★3★3
LEM WATLEY-NEELYINDIANACB★3★3
MATTHEUS CARROLLVIRGINIA TECHWDE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT36 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACK BAILEYCOLORADOOL★2★3
MARCELLUS MARSHALLUCFOL★3★3
MONTRE MILLERWEST VIRGINIACB★3★3
SAVION WASHINGTONCOLORADOOL★3★3
JOJO EVANS JR.FLORIDA INTERNATIONALDBUNRUNR
MARQUEZ COOPERBALL STATERB★3★3
DEVONTEZ WALKERNORTH CAROLINAWR★3★4
COLLIN SCHLEEUCLAQB★3★3
DANTE CEPHASPENN STATEWR★3★3
JA'SHAUN POKEWEST VIRGINIAWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES90%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS91%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#123NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8133COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
717 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST12% BACK12th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG12% BACK12th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR27%27th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR50%50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST81%81th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE