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HOME›TEAMS›KENTUCKY›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|MARK STOOPS|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
KENTUCKY34 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
78FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
87%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#327 BC / 18
BC RATIO
41%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE82
PERFORMANCE82
TALENT80
CONTINUITY61
DEFENSE75
PERFORMANCE75
TALENT74
CONTINUITY87
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
7 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBALL STATE—W 44-14201111+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HEASTERN KENTUCKY—W 28-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HAKRON—W 35-32622+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AVANDERBILT—W 45-28581717+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HFLORIDA—W 33-14907070+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AGEORGIA#4L 13-51999999-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HMISSOURI#8L 21-38839393-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HTENNESSEE#17L 27-33899090-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AMISSISSIPPI STATE#9W 24-3805454+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HALABAMA#5L 21-491009595-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 14-17856262+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ALOUISVILLE#19W 38-31807575+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29HCLEMSON#20L 35-389784840BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB48TAL99PERF48RET1ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
DEVIN LEARYQB SEPORTAL · NC STATE
★4★49099%-6HELD
12
KAIYA SHERONQB SORET
★3★3121%-22HELD
2
DEUCE HOGANQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
DESTIN WADEQB SORET
★4★300%-42FELL
19
SHANE HAMMQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB72TAL88PERF72RET16ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
RAY DAVISRB SENO SNAPS
★4—9871%+1—
DEMIE SUMO-KARNGBAYERB SEPORTAL · NC STATE
★3★46113%+25ROSE
4
JUTAHN MCCLAINRB SERET
★4★4549%-18HELD
26
RAMON JEFFERSONRB 5TRET
★4—487%+29—
47
JUSTICE DINGLE IIFB 5TRET
★3—00%——
48
JACK VARGAFB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
LA'VELL WRIGHTRB SERET
★3★300%-3HELD
33
JAQUEZ KEYESRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
10
JAMARION WILCOXRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
38
HENRY BENNETTRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE70TAL78PERF70RET92ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
DANE KEYWR SERET
★4★49333%+24HELD
6
BARION BROWNWR SERET
★4★48829%+16HELD
9
TAYVION ROBINSONWR 5TRET
★3—8426%+16—
84
JOSH KATTUSTE SERET
★3—7529%+13—
5
JORDAN DINGLETE SERET
★3★37428%+23HELD
80
BRENDEN BATESTE 5TRET
★3—7226%+9—
5
ANTHONY BROWN-STEPHENSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—609%-60—
4
IZAYAH CUMMINGSTE SERET
★3★35510%+50HELD
15
KHAMARI ANDERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★4★3466%—FELL
20
DEKEL CROWDUSWR SERET
★4★3352%—FELL
8
BRANDON WHITEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
SHAMAR PORTERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
34
TREY DENNISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
TANNER LEMASTERTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
ARDELL BANKSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
COLE LANTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JACK MONDAYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DYLAN GARYWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
39
JOSH TERRELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
29
SANTOS ALVAREZWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
MAX DEGRAFFWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
CHY RIVERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
SPENCER LEADBETTERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
DARIUS CANNONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▸OL62TAL72PERF62RET58n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL67TAL79PERF67RET89n=9 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB60TAL80PERF60RET92n=7 · 11 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB53TAL66PERF53RET76n=10 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHAMAR PORTERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
AVERY STUARTHS RECRUITS★4UNR
GRANT GODFREYHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KENDRICK GILBERTHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JAREMIAH ANGLIN JR.HS RECRUITS★4UNR
JAYVANT BROWNHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KHAMARI ANDERSONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
ANTHONY BROWN-STEPHENSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAMARION WILCOXHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TAVION GADSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEVIN LEARYNC STATEQB★4★4
JQ HARDAWAYCINCINNATICBUNR★4
RAY DAVISVANDERBILTRBUNR★4
KEESHAWN SILVERNORTH CAROLINADL★5★4
DEMIE SUMO-KARNGBAYENC STATERB★3★4
TANNER BOWLESALABAMAIOL★4★4
JANTZEN DUNNOHIO STATES★4★3
BEN CHRISTMANOHIO STATEOT★4★3
MARQUES COXNORTHERN ILLINOISOT★3★3
COURTLAND FORDUSCOT★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN ROGERSAUBURNDL★4★4
DEONDRE BUFORDCINCINNATIOL★4★3
KEATON UPSHAWGEORGIA SOUTHERNTE★3★3
KAVOSIEY SMOKECOLORADORB★3★3
DAVID WOHLABAUGH JR.SYRACUSEOL★3★3
CHAUNCEY MAGWOODUCFWR★3★3
DEMARCUS HARRISMARSHALLWR★3★3
TOMIWA DUROJAIYEWEST VIRGINIADL★3★4
CHRIS LEWISTROYWR★4★4
JOHN YOUNGMIAMI (OH)OL★4★4
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES69%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS14%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#32NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8804COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1221 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST42% BACK42th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG42% BACK42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR58%58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST76%76th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE