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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|HUGH FREEZE|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
LIBERTY97 FPICUSA · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
6FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1350 BC / 13
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.6
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
31MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSYRACUSE—L 0-24554141+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7ALOUISIANA—L 14-35267676-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HBUFFALO—W 35-1794646-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HHAMPTON—W 62-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28HNEW MEXICO—W 17-102599+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 20-13855+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HMAINE—W 59-44————NON-FBS OPPONENT
9OCT 26ARUTGERS—L 34-44581010+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AMASSACHUSETTS—W 63-211800+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ABYU—L 24-31515555-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AVIRGINIA—L 27-55586767-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 49-28855+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JOHNATHAN BENNETTQB SENO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
12
STEPHEN CALVERTQB SERET
★3—00%——
14
HENRY VAN DELLENQB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
LANDON BROWNQB SORET
UNR—00%——
4
BRANDON ROBINSONQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
7
MALIK WILLISQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
WILL BOWERSQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET87NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
SHEDRO LOUISRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JOSHUA MACKRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
FRANK BOYD IIIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
MALIK CAPERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
FRANKIE HICKSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
PEYTTON PICKETTRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
20
TROY HENDERSONRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
37
GABRIEL ELLIOTTRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
TYRON STAPLESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
DOMONHIC JENNINGSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
34
JOSHUA MACKRB —RET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DEMARIO DOUGLASWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
BRAYDEN MONDAYTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
MICHAEL BOLLINGERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
KHALEB COLEMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JEROME JACKSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DJ STUBBSWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
BRODY BRUMMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
ZAC FOUTZTE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
DAMIAN KINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
ANTONIO GANDY-GOLDENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL CHOROWICZWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
CHRIS BARRETTTE SERET
★2—00%——
5
NOAH FRITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
KEVIN SHAAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MASON YOSTTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
JOHNNY HUNTLEYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
CJ YARBROUGHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
SEAN QUEENWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
84
JT WOODTE SORET
UNR—00%——
87
NICHOLAS WADEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
D'WAYNE CRAWFORDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
ZACK AMERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
83
CARLOS POOLEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
21
TREON SIBLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
29
JACK BEILWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
45
SHANE DRAYTONTE SORET
UNR—00%——
89
CADE ROWLANDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
NICHOLAS WADEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JOHNNY HUNTLEYTE —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAYVION LANDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
C.J. YARBROUGHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRAYDEN MONDAYHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
MALIK CAPERHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JOHNATHAN BENNETTHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
MICAIAH OVERTONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
ZACK AMERSONHS RECRUITS★2UNR
WILL BOWERSHS RECRUITDUAL★2UNR
MICAH GLAIZEHS RECRUITS★2UNR
CHRIS MEGGINSONHS RECRUITCBUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LIONELL MCCONNELLABILENE CHRISTIANWR★2UNR
TOLEN AVERYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
B.J. FARROWELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
CORBIN JACKSONELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
DAVID KINGELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JAMES PASSMOREELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JEREMY PETERSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JUWAN WELLSELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KEDRICK BRADLEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KENTORY MATTHEWSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#135NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8064COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST87% BACK87th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG87% BACK87th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE