SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LIBERTY›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|HUGH FREEZE|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
LIBERTY81 FPICUSA · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
6FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
25%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#980 BC / 11
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.3
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE24
PERFORMANCE24
TALENT37
CONTINUITY25
DEFENSE65
PERFORMANCE65
TALENT60
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ASOUTHERN MISS—W 29-27393939+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HUAB—W 21-14294747-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AWAKE FOREST—L 36-37526868-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HAKRON—W 21-123233+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AOLD DOMINION—W 38-24281919+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AMASSACHUSETTS—W 42-241200+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HGARDNER-WEBB—W 21-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
8OCT 22HBYU—W 41-14234545-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AARKANSAS—W 21-19827878-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AUCONN—L 33-3691515+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HVIRGINIA TECH—L 22-23632525+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HNEW MEXICO STATE—L 14-4971212+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 20ATOLEDO—L 19-21433838+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB38TAL46PERF38RET97ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JOHNATHAN BENNETTQB SERET
★3★27556%-9FELL
3
KAIDON SALTERQB SERET
★4★36838%-1FELL
16
CHARLIE BREWERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★3263%+16HELD
10
NATE HAMPTONQB SERET
★3★3212%—HELD
9
SEAN BROWNQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ZAK BURNETTQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB46TAL32PERF46RET61ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
SHEDRO LOUISRB SERET
UNR—8644%+13—
DAE DAE HUNTERRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—8339%+31—
2
T.J. GREENRB SERET
★3★35612%+15HELD
23
MALIK CAPERRB SERET
★3—405%-57—
26
JAYLIN BELFORDRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
RUSSIAN WILLIAMSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
28
JUSTIN GIPSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
KYLE HANKSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE35TAL31PERF38RET72ONE OWNERn=10 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DEMARIO DOUGLASWR SORET
UNR—9528%+34—
88
JEROME JACKSONTE SERET
UNR—9150%-16—
5
NOAH FRITHWR SERET
UNR—8924%+20—
8
CALEB SNEADWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7315%-36—
13
CJ YARBROUGHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—6711%+21—
30
MICHAEL BOLLINGERTE SERET
UNR—6520%——
15
BENTLEY HANSHAWTE SENO SNAPS
★2—6520%+14—
21
TREON SIBLEYWR SERET
★2—6510%+34—
6
JAIVIAN LOFTONWR JURET
UNR★3566%-14EMERGED
83
AUSTIN HENDERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—5311%-23—
17
KHALEB COLEMANWR SERET
UNR—494%+28—
7
CJ DANIELSWR SERET
★3★4463%—ROSE
13
D'WAYNE CRAWFORDWR SERET
UNR—130%——
1
KYLEN AUSTINWR SERET
★3—100%——
80
COLE PETERLINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
19
BRODY BRUMMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
BRAYDEN MONDAYTE SORET
★3—00%——
86
EDDIE OGLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MARKEL FORTENBERRYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
TEIGAN MARTINTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
22
COLEMAN BAKERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
MARK HUTZELWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL40TAL45PERF40RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL76TAL61PERF76RET68n=10 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸LB73TAL53PERF73RET48n=5 · 11 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸DB56TAL61PERF56RET74n=11 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARKEL FORTENBERRYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRYLAN GREENHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MIYON CONAWAYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JAYDEN SWEENEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JORDAN NORWOODHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BRYCE DIXONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CLAUDEL BAZILEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DEXTER RICKS JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TEIGAN MARTINHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ANTWON JACKSONHS RECRUITCBUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STETSON MOOREMISSOURI STATETEUNRUNR
HENRY CHIBUEZEMARYLANDDL★3UNR
JOSHUA MACKELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
ALEX BARBIRELIGIBILITY UPPK★3—
RALFS RUSINSELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
FRANK BOYD IIIELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JAYOD SANDERSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
TRISTAN SCHULTZELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
DJ STUBBSELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
TREVOR HOBBSELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#98NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8353COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST26% BACK26th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG26% BACK26th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST74%74th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE