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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SUN BELT|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
LOUISIANA44 FPISBC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#760 BC / 25
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs10.8-2.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+18.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 28-38846262+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HLIBERTY—W 35-1464343+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HTEXAS SOUTHERN—W 77-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21AOHIO—W 45-25156363+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 37-24263434+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 9HAPP STATE#19L 7-17278080-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 17AARKANSAS STATE—W 37-20334242+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HTEXAS STATE—W 31-31699+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 48-791313+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 37-272066+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HTROY—W 53-3223535+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HUL MONROE—W 31-30151616+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7AAPP STATE#19L 38-45278080-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET18NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
CHANDLER FIELDSQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
LEVI LEWISQB SERET
★3—00%——
8
JAIAVE MAGALEIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
CLIFTON MCDOWELLQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
BRAYDEN HAWKINSQB SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
25
BEAU KALBACHERQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JAIAVE MAGALEIQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ASHTON JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
T.J. WISHAMRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
TREY RAGASRB SERET
★3—00%——
15
ELIJAH MITCHELLRB SERET
★2—00%——
4
RAYMOND CALAISRB SERET
★2—00%——
13
CHRIS SMITHRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
31
MICHAEL ORPHEY JR.RB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
BRENDAN HOORMANRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
T.J. WISHAMRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
89
HUNTER BERGERONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
19
JAMAL BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
KALEB CARTERWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
JALEN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
JA'MARCUS BRADLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
JARROD JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
CHRIS TURNERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
ALEX ALLENTE SERET
★3—00%——
9
NEAL JOHNSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
BRIAN SMITH JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
BRANDON LEGENDREWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
85
CHRIS TURNERTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
CASSIUS ALLENWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
CALIF GOSSETTWR JURET
★2—00%——
24
PEARSE MIGLTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
DEVON PAULEYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
PETER LEBLANCWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
LEROY FRANKLINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JOHNNY LUMPKINTE SERET
★2—00%——
82
DA'RON WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
DAMANI BURRELLTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
JACOB BERNARDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
DALEN CAMBREWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
GAGE RAPPWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENDALL WILKERSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
BRANDON LEGENDREHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TYLER GUIDRYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CHANDLER FIELDSHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
LOGAN NEWELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KING MCGOWENHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JACOB BERNARDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JADEN HENDERSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
O'CYRUS TORRENCEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
QUINTLAN COBBHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENDALL JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
GARRALD MCDOWELLELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EARNEST PATTERSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
MATT BARNESELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
COREY TURNERELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
LADARRIUS KIDDELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
CHAIZIERE MALBRUEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
RYHEEM MALONEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KEENAN BARNESELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
VINCE THOMASELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#76NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8205COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
18TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
1
3
6
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.8 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +7 W
IMPROVED10 OF 18
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST59% BACK59th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG59% BACK59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR18%18th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE