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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SUN BELT|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD9-1|CONF—
LOUISIANA#15 AP 36 FPISBC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#790 BC / 21
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-1ACTUALvs7.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.1
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 12AIOWA STATE#9W 31-14608686-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19AGEORGIA STATE—W 34-31202929+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 20-18214848+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HCOASTAL CAROLINA#14L 27-3087272+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AUAB—W 24-20297070+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31ATEXAS STATE—W 44-34271111+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HARKANSAS STATE—W 27-20292828+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 38-10151515+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AUL MONROE—W 70-201766+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4AAPP STATE—W 24-21267979-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
CHANDLER FIELDSQB SERET
★3—00%——
1
LEVI LEWISQB SERET
★3—00%——
8
JAIAVE MAGALEIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
CLIFTON MCDOWELLQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
25
BEAU KALBACHERQB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
LUKE BOGANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET74NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
EMANI BAILEYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
T.J. WISHAMRB JURET
★3—00%——
9
TREY RAGASRB SERET
★3—00%——
15
ELIJAH MITCHELLRB SERET
★2—00%——
30
JORDAN GRIFFINRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
CHRIS SMITHRB JURET
★3—00%——
31
MICHAEL ORPHEY JR.RB JURET
UNR—00%——
40
BRONTRE' GRIFFINRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
MIKE MARTIN JR.RB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DONTAE FLEMINGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
DALEN CAMBREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
ERROL ROGERS JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
89
HUNTER BERGERONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
DAMANI BURRELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
KALEB CARTERWR SERET
★2—00%——
3
GOLDEN EKEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
JALEN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
NEAL JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
11
CALIF GOSSETTWR JURET
★2—00%——
88
JOHNNY LUMPKINTE SERET
★2—00%——
24
PEARSE MIGLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
DEVON PAULEYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
29
PETER LEBLANCWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
KYREN LACYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
PEYTON AUCOINTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
TREVOR RUSSELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
84
LEROY FRANKLINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
PAT HUGHESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
JAMAL BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
JACOB BERNARDWR SERET
★3—00%——
44
CHRISTIAN SABATINITE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
7
BRIAN SMITH JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
CASSIUS ALLENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
40
DRAVYN GUILBEAUTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
41
JOE LOMBARDI JR.TE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
REGINALD JOHNSON JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
RHETT GUIDRYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
REGINALD JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KYREN LACYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CALEB ANDERSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CORY MARSHALLHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
ANDRAY POPEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
COURTLINE FLOWERSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
EMANI BAILEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TREY AMOSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
AHMAD JOHNSONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
DONTAE FLEMINGHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAYMOND CALAISNFL DRAFT R7RB★2—
JA'MARCUS BRADLEYELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KAMAR GREENHOUSEELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
MICHAEL JACQUET IIIELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JARROD JACKSONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TERIK MILLERELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
DEUCE WALLACEELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
CHRIS TURNERELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
ALEX ALLENELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
BENNIE HIGGINSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#79NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8316COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE