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HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SUN BELT|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD12-1|CONF—
LOUISIANA#16 AP 48 FPISBC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#790 BC / 19
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs10.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD7-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.4
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4ATEXAS—L 18-389364640BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HNICHOLLS—W 27-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HOHIO—W 49-14151717+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 28-20211010+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 20-18272525+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HAPP STATE—W 41-13357373-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AARKANSAS STATE—W 28-274099+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HTEXAS STATE—W 45-03099+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HGEORGIA STATE—W 21-17264545+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ATROY—W 35-21342828+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ALIBERTY—W 42-1476363+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HUL MONROE—W 21-161255+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4HAPP STATE—W 24-16357373-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
CHANDLER FIELDSQB SERET
★3—00%——
1
LEVI LEWISQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
BEN WOOLDRIDGEQB SEPORTAL · FRESNO STATE
★2★200%—HELD
8
ZY MCDONALDQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
18
PARKER SEILHANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET20NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
EMANI BAILEYRB JURET
★3—00%——
1
MONTRELL JOHNSON JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
DRE WASHINGTONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
T.J. WISHAMRB JURET
★3—00%——
13
CHRIS SMITHRB JURET
★3—00%——
31
MICHAEL ORPHEY JR.RB JURET
UNR—00%——
27
KENDRELL WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DONTAE FLEMINGWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
ERROL ROGERS JR.WR JURET
★3★200%—FELL
89
HUNTER BERGERONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
7
JOHN STEPHENS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
JAMAL BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
KALEB CARTERWR SERET
★2—00%——
82
RHETT GUIDRYTE JURET
★3—00%——
18
JALEN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
NEAL JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
4
JACOB BERNARDWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
JOHNNY LUMPKINTE SERET
★2—00%——
24
PEARSE MIGLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
DEVON PAULEYWR SORET
UNR—00%——
8
MICHAEL JEFFERSONWR SEPORTAL · ALABAMA STATE
UNR—00%——
29
PETER LEBLANCWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
KYREN LACYWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
TREVOR RUSSELLWR JURET
★2—00%——
83
DAMANI BURRELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
LANCE LEGENDREWR SEPORTAL · MARYLAND
★4★300%—FELL
44
CHRISTIAN SABATINITE FRRET
★3—00%——
11
DALEN CAMBREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
HUNTER HERRINGTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
GOLDEN EKEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
41
JOE LOMBARDI JR.TE FRRET
UNR—00%——
0
ROBERT WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
JATHAN CALDWELLTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
7
JOHN STEPHENS JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
DALE MARTINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
TRAYV'ON CULBERTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
TITO BYCEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
38
DA'JON BONNEEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
93
NOAH MCCOLLUMWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TERRENCE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MONTRELL JOHNSON JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ROBERT WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GEORGE JACKSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JA'MARIAN PETERSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
KC OSSAIHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KENDRELL WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CEJAE CEASARHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ZY MCDONALDHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KEY'SAVALYN BARNESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
T.J. FIAILOAUL MONROEIOL★3★3
LANCE LEGENDREMARYLANDQB★4★3
MATTHEW ANDERSONNEBRASKAOT★3★3
JACOB KIBODIINCARNATE WORDRB★3★3
TYRONE LEWISKANSAS STATESUNR★3
JOHN STEPHENSTCUWRUNR★3
CLINTON ANOKWURUKANSASSDE★3★3
BEN WOOLDRIDGEFRESNO STATEQB★2★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT11 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH MITCHELLNFL DRAFT R6RB★2—
JOE DILLONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TERRENCE JONESELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BLAIR BROOKSELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
TREY RAGASELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
JAIAVE MAGALEIELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
CALIF GOSSETTNOT LISTEDWR★2—
PAUL BOUDREAUXNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
JA'QUANE NELSONNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
LA'KAMION FRANKLINNOT LISTEDLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#79NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8380COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
97 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE