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HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA TECH›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SUN BELT|SKIP HOLTZ|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
LOUISIANA TECH104 FPISBC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
45FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1210 BC / 10
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.6-7.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.0
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 34-35807474-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HSE LOUISIANA—W 45-42————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HSMU—L 37-39556666-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HNORTH TEXAS—W 24-17422828-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ANC STATE#20L 27-34769090-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AUTEP—L 3-19123030-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HUTSA—L 16-45445656-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AOLD DOMINION—L 20-23252424-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AUAB—L 38-52346767-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HCHARLOTTE—W 42-32371212+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HSOUTHERN MISS—L 19-35391111+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ARICE—L 31-352833+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET38NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
AARON ALLENQB JURET
★3—00%——
AUSTIN KENDALLQB SEPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★4★300%—FELL
2
JD HEADQB SORET
★3—00%——
13
LUKE ANTHONYQB SERET
★2—00%——
CALEB HOLSTEINQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET16NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
GREG GARNERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
MARCUS WILLIAMS JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
CARSON RIEDERFB FRRET
UNR—00%——
21
KEVIN DOMINIQUERB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
45
JACOB ADAMSFB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
HARLAN DIXONRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
21
KEYON HENRY-BROOKSRB JUPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★3★300%—HELD
22
CHARVIS THORNTONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
22
MARQUIS CROSBYRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
SOLO LEWISWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
BUB MEANSWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
TRE HARRISWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
5
GRIFFIN HEBERTTE SERET
★2—00%——
TAHJ MAGEEWR JURET
★3—00%——
81
IVAN THOMASTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
ISAIAH GRAHAMWR SERET
★4—00%——
14
PRAISE OKORIEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
SMOKE HARRISWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
KYLE MAXWELLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
SAMUEL EMILUSWR SEPORTAL · MASSACHUSETTS
★3★300%—HELD
84
JOSEPH WALKERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
82
DOYLE ADAMS JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
8
JAWAUN JOHNSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
CJ MCWILLIAMSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
15
BUB MEANSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
MATTHEW MCCALLISTERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
J'DAN BURNETTHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CYRUS ALLENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KENNETH BANNISTERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SOLO LEWISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JERRELL BOYKINS JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DOMINIK CALHOUNHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ERRON BEANHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CARSON BRUNOHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CARLOS DUNOVANTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MARQUIS CROSBYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AUSTIN KENDALLWEST VIRGINIAQB★4★3
SAMUEL WILLIAMSUL MONROEOT★3★3
MARCUS WILLIAMS JRAPP STATERBUNR★3
KEYON HENRY-BROOKSVANDERBILTRB★3★3
MYLES MASONARKANSASS★3★3
SAMUEL EMILUSMASSACHUSETTSWR★3★3
ELIJAH HAMILTONVANDERBILTCB★3★3
BAYLEN BUCHANANTENNESSEECB★3★3
CHRISTOPHER FOURNIERLEHIGHIOLUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MILTON WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R3DL★2—
TRENT WESSELELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
GERALD WILBONELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
ISRAEL TUCKERELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
ADRIAN HARDYELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
CEE JAY POWELLELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
WESTIN ELLIOTTELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
JUSTIN HENDERSONELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
DONAVAUGHN CAMPBELLELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
GEORGE SCOTTNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#121NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8385COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
911 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR38%38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE