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HOME›TEAMS›LOUISVILLE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
ACC|SCOTT SATTERFIELD|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
LOUISVILLE22 FPIACC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
57FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
10%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#514 BC / 16
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.0-4.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.0
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE65
PERFORMANCE65
TALENT63
CONTINUITY10
DEFENSE95
PERFORMANCE95
TALENT66
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ASYRACUSE—L 7-31535353+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AUCF—W 20-14627373-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HFLORIDA STATE#11L 31-35888383-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 41-35199+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 33-34701313+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AVIRGINIA—W 34-17582828+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HPITTSBURGH#22W 24-10687070+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HWAKE FOREST—W 48-21526868+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HJAMES MADISON—W 34-1056262+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ACLEMSON#13L 16-31979191-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HNC STATE—W 25-10756363+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AKENTUCKY—L 13-26818282-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17HCINCINNATI—W 24-7658282-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB55TAL72PERF55RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MALIK CUNNINGHAMQB SERET
★3—7463%+35—
19
BROCK DOMANNQB SERET
UNR—6638%-16—
6
EVAN CONLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
4
KHALIB JOHNSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
NATHAN MCELROYQB SONO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
14
SAM VAULTONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL63PERF65RET60ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
JAWHAR JORDANRB JURET
★3★38640%+15HELD
7
TIYON EVANSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—7021%+23—
0
MAURICE TURNERRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36718%-10HELD
22
TREY COOLEYRB SERET
★4★36517%-16FELL
5
JALEN MITCHELLRB SERET
★3★3363%+4HELD
30
GRANT GOODMANRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—91%——
▾WR/TE65TAL42PERF64RET65ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 35 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
TYLER HUDSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—9131%+35—
5
MARSHON FORDTE JURET
UNR—9043%+14—
BRADEN SMITHWR SERET
UNR★38325%-25EMERGED
24
AHMARI HUGGINS-BRUCEWR SERET
★3—8324%-15—
44
FRANCIS SHERMANTE SERET
UNR★36820%—EMERGED
41
ISAAC MARTINTE SERET
UNR—6316%——
9
BUGS MORTIMERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—588%——
88
JAELIN CARTERWR SENO SNAPS
★2—546%+2—
0
CHRIS BELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—536%+3—
45
DUANE MARTINTE SERET
★3—518%——
2
DEE WIGGINSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3474%+19HELD
88
DEZ MELTONTE SERET
★3—446%——
42
JOSH LIFSONTE SERET
★2—435%——
11
JOSH JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—342%-58—
86
ELIJAH DOWNINGWR SORET
★3—301%——
18
BRADLEY WESTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—231%——
44
NATE KURISKYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3141%—HELD
81
CHRISTIAN HENRYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
GAGE REALETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
JATAVIAN CHURCHILLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
VICTOR MULLENTE FRRET
★3—00%——
6
CHANCE MORROWWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
37
AUSTIN HOLLANDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
18
SAM YOUNGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
GERALD HANSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
TRE MOOREWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL52TAL71PERF52RET17n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL77TAL55PERF77RET90n=10 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB87TAL70PERF87RET78n=6 · 11 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB53TAL67PERF53RET55n=8 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
POPEYE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
BUGS MORTIMERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ROCK CALDWELLHS RECRUITS★4UNR
SELAH BROWNHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
KHALIB JOHNSONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TAWFIQ THOMASHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CHANCE MORROWHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
IZAIAH REEDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MAURICE TURNERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
NATE KURISKYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HASSAN HALLGEORGIA TECHRB★3UNR
JUSTIN MARSHALLBUFFALOWR★3UNR
TYLER HARRELLALABAMAWR★3★3
AIDAN ROBBINSUNLVRB★3★4
JORDAN WATKINSOLE MISSWR★3UNR
GREEDY VANCE JR.FLORIDA STATECB★3★3
KANI WALKEROKLAHOMADB★3★3
SHAI WERTSELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
NICK OKEKEELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
DEREK DORSEYELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#51NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8636COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR17%17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST55%55th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE