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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LSU›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|ED ORGERON|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
LSU#6 AP 17 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1511 BC / 20
BC RATIO
62%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.8
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
74MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HMIAMI—W 33-17868080+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HSE LOUISIANA—W 31-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15AAUBURN—W 22-21919595+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HLOUISIANA TECH—W 38-21452828+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HOLE MISS—W 45-16857575+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AFLORIDA#7L 19-27919494+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HGEORGIA#7W 36-16999999-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 19-3849595+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HALABAMA#2L 0-2999100100-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AARKANSAS—W 24-17816060+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HRICE—W 42-102411+96BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATEXAS A&M#16L 72-74899292+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET8NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JOE BURROWQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
MYLES BRENNANQB SERET
★4—00%——
13
ANDRE SALEQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
8
JORDAN LOVINGQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET7NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
CHRIS CURRYRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
4
NICK BROSSETTERB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
LANARD FOURNETTERB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
TORY CARTERFB SERET
★3—00%——
22
CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRERB JURET
★3—00%——
25
TAE PROVENSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
47
TREY GALLMANFB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
JUSTIN JONESRB SORET
UNR—00%——
43
MATT BROCKFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
DERRICK DILLONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
STEPHEN SULLIVANTE SERET
★4—00%——
2
JUSTIN JEFFERSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
11
DEE ANDERSONWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
18
FOSTER MOREAUTE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
JONATHAN GILESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
13
JONTRE KIRKLINWR SERET
★3—00%——
38
KEITH FULTONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
RACEY MCMATHWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
JA'MARR CHASEWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
TERRACE MARSHALL JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
88
JACORY WASHINGTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
41
DAVID DUCRETE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JAMAL PETTIGREWTE SERET
★4★400%—HELD
42
AARON MOFFITTTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
COLBY BRUNETWR JURET
UNR—00%——
29
DANIEL BUSHLANDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
ZACH SHEFFERTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
TIGER SCHEYDWR —RET
UNR—00%——
30
MICHAEL OSTROMWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
WESLEY MCKOYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
AARON HODOHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TERRACE MARSHALLHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
KELVIN JOSEPHHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JA'MARR CHASEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JARELL CHERRYHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
CHASEN HINESHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
MICAH BASKERVILLEHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
DAVIN COTTONHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
DARE ROSENTHALHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
KENAN JONESHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CHRIS CURRYHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XAVIER LEWISSE LOUISIANACBUNRUNR
JUSTIN MCMILLANTULANEQBUNRUNR
DANNY ETLINGNFL DRAFT R7QBUNR—
RUSSELL GAGENFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
D.J. CHARKNFL DRAFT R2WRUNR—
DERRIUS GUICENFL DRAFT R2RBUNR—
DONTE JACKSONNFL DRAFT R2DBUNR—
ARDEN KEYNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
COREY THOMPSONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
J.D. MOORENOT LISTEDFBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#15NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
11OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8970COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST16% BACK16th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG16% BACK16th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR8%8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE