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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|BRIAN KELLY|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
LSU26 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
49%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1021 BC / 24
BC RATIO
69%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.5
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE49
PERFORMANCE49
TALENT88
CONTINUITY61
DEFENSE93
PERFORMANCE93
TALENT90
CONTINUITY49
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30ACLEMSON—W 17-10967676+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HLOUISIANA TECH—W 23-7164444+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HFLORIDA—W 20-10925454+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HSE LOUISIANA—W 56-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 27AOLE MISS#3L 19-24859696-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 20-10886464+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AVANDERBILT#15L 24-31619393-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HTEXAS A&M#8L 25-49959494-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AALABAMA#9L 9-20998686-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HARKANSAS—W 23-22846161+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 13-10285050+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AOKLAHOMA#13L 13-17919090-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27AHOUSTON#22L 35-38537171+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB49TAL85PERF49RET63ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
GARRETT NUSSMEIERQB SERET
★4—8263%+16—
3
MICHAEL VAN BUREN JR.QB JUPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★4★37237%-7FELL
16
COLIN HURLEYQB FRRET
★4★300%—FELL
19
EMILE PICARELLA IIIQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
21
TRE PEOPLEQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB43TAL90PERF43RET71ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
CADEN DURHAMRB JURET
★4★48842%-4HELD
22
HARLEM BERRYRB SONO SNAPS
★5—7929%——
4
JU'JUAN JOHNSONRB JURET
★4★37625%-44FELL
5
KALEB JACKSONRB JURET
★3★3424%+1HELD
30
MALACHI LANERB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
JT LINDSEYRB FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
24
JOSEPH EBUNRB JURET
UNR—00%——
39
REID CHAUVINRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE71TAL90PERF67RET57ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BAUER SHARPTE SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
UNR★39250%+8EMERGED
0
ZAVION THOMASWR SERET
★3★49125%+4ROSE
6
BARION BROWNWR SEPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★4★48923%+13HELD
7
TREY'DEZ GREENTE JURET
★4—8844%+17—
5
KYLE PARKERWR SERET
★4★38018%+3FELL
1
AARON ANDERSONWR JURET
★4★47113%+19HELD
3
CHRIS HILTON JR.WR SERET
★4—6811%+11—
4
NIC ANDERSONWR SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★4★3658%+28FELL
81
DONOVAN GREENTE SENO SNAPS
★4★3486%-11FELL
2
DESTYN HILLWR JUPORTAL · FLORIDA STATE
★3★4362%-37ROSE
13
JELANI WATKINSWR JURET
★4★3241%—FELL
45
GIVANNI PETERSONTE SERET
UNR—141%——
18
KYLAN BILLIOTWR SORET
★4★360%—FELL
15
PHILLIP WRIGHT IIIWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
87
NOAH NASHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
COWINN HELAIREWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
TARON FRANCISWR FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
47
JD LAFLEURTE FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
80
ISAIAH STONEWR SORET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
LANDON CRAIGTE SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL51TAL87PERF51RET60n=8 · 3 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL67TAL90PERF67RET40n=7 · 7 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸LB66TAL89PERF66RET95n=8 · 11 METRICS · 63 OBS
▸DB74TAL91PERF74RET29n=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ PICKETTHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
HARLEM BERRYHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
SOLOMON THOMASHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
CARIUS CURNEHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
CHARLES ROSS IIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JAIDEN BRAKERHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JT LINDSEYHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
TARON FRANCISHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TYLER MILLERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
DAMIEN SHANKLINHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PATRICK PAYTONFLORIDA STATEEDGE★4★4
JOSH THOMPSONNORTHWESTERNIOL★3★4
NIC ANDERSONOKLAHOMAWR★4★4
BERNARD GOODENSOUTH FLORIDADL★3★4
BARION BROWNKENTUCKYWR★4★4
JACK PYBURNFLORIDAEDGE★3★4
MANSOOR DELANEVIRGINIA TECHCB★3★4
A.J. HAULCYHOUSTONS★3★4
BRAELIN MOOREVIRGINIA TECHIOL★3★4
JA'KEEM JACKSONFLORIDACB★4★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT33 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAGE RYANOLE MISSS★5★3
CJ DANIELSMIAMIWR★3★4
JAY'VIAR SUGGSWISCONSINDLUNR★4
JK JOHNSONOKLAHOMA STATEDB★4★3
JORDAN ALLENHOUSTONDB★3★3
DA'SHAWN WOMACKOLE MISSEDGE★5★4
KA'MORREUN PIMPTONTCUTE★4★4
KYLIN JACKSONTCUS★4★3
JALEN LEEUNLVDL★4★4
JYAIRE BROWNUCFDB★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES36%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS57%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#10NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
21OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9166COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1823 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR60%60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR63%63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST29%29th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE