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HOME›TEAMS›MARYLAND›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|MIKE LOCKSLEY|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
MARYLAND31 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
73FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
15%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#314 BC / 21
BC RATIO
23%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.3-4.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.1
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE63
PERFORMANCE63
TALENT72
CONTINUITY15
DEFENSE82
PERFORMANCE82
TALENT70
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
54MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HBUFFALO—W 31-10162626+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10ACHARLOTTE—W 56-21411010+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HSMU—W 34-27555858+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AMICHIGAN#3L 27-34919999-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HMICHIGAN STATE—W 27-13764949+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HPURDUE—L 29-31646565+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AINDIANA—W 38-33743131+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HNORTHWESTERN—W 31-24671616+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AWISCONSIN—L 10-23826868+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12APENN STATE#7L 0-30909595-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HOHIO STATE#4L 30-43999898-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HRUTGERS—W 37-0612727+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30ANC STATE—W 16-12756363+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB57TAL89PERF57RET85ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TAULIA TAGOVAILOAQB SERET
★4—9285%+33—
9
BILLY EDWARDS JR.QB SENO SNAPS
★3★35013%+2HELD
22
ERIC NAJARIANQB JURET
UNR—212%+36—
13
JAYDEN SAURAYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
DAVID FOUSTQB SORET
UNR—00%——
15
CAMERON EDGEQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
RYAN DUELLQB FRRET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
18
JOHN GRIFFITHQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB59TAL85PERF59RET88ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ROMAN HEMBYRB SERET
★3★39861%+18HELD
4
ANTWAIN LITTLETON JR.RB SERET
UNR—6918%-2—
8
RAMON BROWNRB SONO SNAPS
★4★46012%-44HELD
23
COLBY MCDONALDRB SERET
★3—559%+11—
29
CHALLEN FAAMATAURB SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
27
ELI MASONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
AENEAS SMITHRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE68TAL83PERF62RET83ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
CJ DIPPRETE SERET
★3★48947%+43ROSE
10
COREY DYCHESTE SERET
★3★38745%+32HELD
6
JESHAUN JONESWR SERET
★4—8521%+10—
1
RAKIM JARRETTWR JURET
★5—8320%-5—
7
DONTAY DEMUS JR.WR SERET
★3—7918%-2—
10
TAI FELTONWR SERET
★3—7818%-17—
2
JACOB COPELANDWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—6812%+23—
5
OCTAVIAN SMITH JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4—607%-7—
0
JOEY BEARNS IIITE SERET
★3★3457%—HELD
4
SHALEAK KNOTTSWR SENO SNAPS
★4—392%——
86
LEON HAUGHTON JR.TE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3331%—HELD
39
DANIEL OWENSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—100%——
9
LERON HUSBANDSTE JURET
★3★3101%—HELD
18
WESTON WOLFFTE SERET
★3★340%—HELD
87
ROBERT SMITHWR JURET
★3—00%——
88
KHALID JONESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
TERRANCE ELLIS IITE 5TNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
PRESTON HOWARDTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
1
MARCUS FLEMINGWR SORET
★4★400%—HELD
47
MAXWELL BROWNTE JURET
UNR—00%——
4
KAI HOLLOWAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSHUA JENNINGSTE SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
86
SHANE CARROLLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL48TAL55PERF48RET16n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL45TAL78PERF45RET74n=11 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
▸LB43TAL70PERF43RET54n=10 · 11 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸DB61TAL67PERF61RET93n=11 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAISHAWN BARHAMHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
SHALEAK KNOTTSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
RAMON BROWNHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
OCTAVIAN SMITH JR.HS RECRUITATH★4UNR
PRESTON HOWARDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CAMERON EDGEHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ANDRE ROYE JR.HS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DANIEL OWENSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAYDEN SAURAYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
PERRY FISHERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDEN JENNINGSUCFLB★4★4
BRIAN COBBSUTAH STATEWR★3UNR
KENNY BENNETTGEORGIA TECHDB★3★3
CARLOS CARRIERECENTRAL MICHIGANWR★3UNR
DARRYL JONESNC STATEWR★4UNR
LAVONTE GATERKENT STATEDB★3★3
DINO TOMLINBOSTON COLLEGEWR★3UNR
PENY BOONETOLEDORB★4★4
DESHAWN HOLTTOLEDOLB★3UNR
DEVYN KINGHAWAI'IDB★3UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#31NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8719COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR16%16th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST93%93th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE