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● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MARYLAND›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG TEN|MIKE LOCKSLEY|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
MARYLAND33 FPIB1G · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
69FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
52%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
73%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#364 BC / 25
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs7.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT79
CONTINUITY52
DEFENSE67
PERFORMANCE67
TALENT73
CONTINUITY73
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HTOWSON—W 38-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HCHARLOTTE—W 38-204333+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HVIRGINIA—W 42-14532121+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AMICHIGAN STATE—W 31-9813434+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HINDIANA—W 44-17663131+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AOHIO STATE#10L 17-37999898-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HILLINOIS—L 24-27554444+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANORTHWESTERN—L 27-33634848+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HPENN STATE#13L 15-51919797-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ANEBRASKA—W 13-10855151+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HMICHIGAN#1L 24-3191100100-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ARUTGERS—W 42-24565959+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30HAUBURN—W 31-13887373+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB50TAL89PERF50RET98ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TAULIA TAGOVAILOAQB SERET
★4—9691%+34—
9
BILLY EDWARDS JR.QB SERET
★3★3417%-46HELD
15
CAMERON EDGEQB JURET
★3★3232%—HELD
13
JAYDEN SAURAYQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
7
CHAMP LONGQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB58TAL79PERF58RET94ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ROMAN HEMBYRB SERET
★3★39555%+7HELD
4
ANTWAIN LITTLETON JR.RB SERET
UNR—7626%-30—
23
COLBY MCDONALDRB SERET
★3—6616%+13—
20
DJ SAMUELSFB JUNO SNAPS
★3—271%——
27
ELI MASONRB JURET
UNR—201%——
2
NOLAN RAYRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3171%—HELD
8
RAMON BROWNRB SORET
★4★400%-45HELD
39
RYNE ACHESONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE68TAL79PERF66RET61ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TAI FELTONWR SERET
★3—9427%+6—
6
JESHAUN JONESWR SERET
★4—9426%+19—
1
KADEN PRATHERWR SEPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★4★49024%+12HELD
10
COREY DYCHESTE SERET
★3★38844%+34HELD
8
PRESTON HOWARDTE SERET
★3★37732%+2HELD
5
OCTAVIAN SMITH JR.WR SERET
★4—6811%-12—
8
RICO WALKERTE SENO SNAPS
★4★35813%—FELL
4
SHALEAK KNOTTSWR SERET
★4—535%-46—
0
DYLAN WADETE SENO SNAPS
★3★3518%—HELD
TYRESE CHAMBERSWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
★2★4514%+12ROSE
39
DANIEL OWENSTE SERET
★3—413%——
89
AJ SZYMANSKITE SENO SNAPS
★3—353%——
10
BRAEDEN WISLOSKIWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3191%—HELD
87
ROBERT SMITHWR JURET
★3—191%——
86
LEON HAUGHTON JR.TE SERET
★3★3170%—HELD
11
RYAN MANNINGWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—130%——
50
DAVID DEGUZMANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
0
EZEKIEL AVITWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
SEAN WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
KHALID JONESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
PARKER JONESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
LERON HUSBANDSTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
47
MAXWELL BROWNTE JURET
UNR—00%——
19
JOSH RICHARDSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
JOSHUA JENNINGSTE SORET
★4—00%——
25
RICARDO COOPER JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
TAYLOR BESTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
ALEC HUGHESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
JAIDEN FAIRWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
THOMAS MCCLUSKEYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
TYLER BARUCHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL61TAL59PERF61RET19n=8 · 3 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL39TAL84PERF40RET63n=9 · 7 METRICS · 46 OBS
▸LB46TAL73PERF46RET75n=9 · 11 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸DB53TAL67PERF53RET75n=11 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RICO WALKERHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
MICHAEL HARRISHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
NEEO AVERYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
DYLAN GOODENHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
KEVIS THOMASHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DYLAN WADEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TAMARCUS COOLEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DILLAN FONTUSHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
EZEKIEL AVITHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRAEDEN WISLOSKIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KADEN PRATHERWEST VIRGINIAWR★4★4
JA'QUAN SHEPPARDCINCINNATICB★3★4
TYRESE CHAMBERSFLORIDA INTERNATIONALWR★2★4
AVANTAE WILLIAMSMIAMIS★4★4
GOTTLIEB AYEDZEFROSTBURG STATEOTUNR★4
JORDAN PHILLIPSTENNESSEEDL★3★3
COREY BULLOCKNORTH CAROLINA CENTRALIOLUNR★3
DONNELL BROWNSAINT FRANCIS (PA)SDE★4★3
MARCUS DUMERVILLSUOT★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT32 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MASON LUNSFORDLSUOL★3★3
MOSIAH NASILI-KITEAUBURNDL★3★4
AHMAD MCCULLOUGHWASHINGTON STATELBUNR★3
CJ DIPPREALABAMATE★3★4
AUSTIN FONTAINECHARLOTTEOL★4★4
ANTHONY BOOKER JR.ARKANSASDTUNR★3
COLTIN DEERYTCUOL★3★3
TYLER BAYLORKENT STATEDL★3★3
ISAIAH HAZELCHARLOTTEDB★4★4
JOEY BEARNS IIICHARLOTTETE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES2%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS40%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#36NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8639COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1022 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST88% BACK88th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG88% BACK88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST75%75th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE