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HOME›TEAMS›MARYLAND›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG TEN|MIKE LOCKSLEY|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
MARYLAND71 FPIB1G · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#393 BC / 24
BC RATIO
20%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.3-7.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.8
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE50
PERFORMANCE50
TALENT69
CONTINUITY61
DEFENSE61
PERFORMANCE61
TALENT69
CONTINUITY80
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HUCONN—W 50-7275050-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HMICHIGAN STATE—L 24-27713333+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AVIRGINIA—W 27-13563232+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HVILLANOVA—W 38-20————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 28AINDIANA#10L 28-42599292-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HNORTHWESTERN—L 10-37612424+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HUSC—W 29-28908383-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AMINNESOTA—L 23-48688080-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AOREGON#3L 18-39969999-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HRUTGERS—L 17-31586969-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HIOWA—L 13-29728989-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30APENN STATE#5L 7-44939797-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB68TAL61PERF68RET86ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
BILLY EDWARDS JR.QB SERET
★3★39584%+12HELD
19
MJ MORRISQB SEPORTAL · NC STATE
★4★35714%-25FELL
15
CAMERON EDGEQB JURET
★3★3181%—HELD
7
CHAMP LONGQB SORET
★3—71%——
13
JAYDEN SAURAYQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
12
KHRISTIAN MARTINQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
ROMAN JENSENQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB50TAL72PERF50RET98ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ROMAN HEMBYRB SERET
★3★39763%-3HELD
2
NOLAN RAYRB JURET
★3★37725%-13HELD
20
DJ SAMUELSFB JURET
★3—555%——
23
COLBY MCDONALDRB SERET
★3—558%+7—
29
COLIN REYNOLDSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—27100%——
20
DEJUAN WILLIAMSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—323%——
27
ELI MASONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
39
RYNE ACHESONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE57TAL73PERF55RET97ROTATIONn=6 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KADEN PRATHERWR SERET
★4★410032%+3HELD
10
TAI FELTONWR SERET
★3—9931%+20—
5
OCTAVIAN SMITH JR.WR SERET
★4—9324%-31—
0
DYLAN WADETE SERET
★3★38443%+17HELD
8
PRESTON HOWARDTE SERET
★3★38341%-3HELD
4
SHALEAK KNOTTSWR SERET
★4—627%-22—
9
LERON HUSBANDSTE JURET
★3★3499%—HELD
10
BRAEDEN WISLOSKIWR SERET
★3★3493%—HELD
39
DANIEL OWENSTE SERET
★3—484%——
86
LEON HAUGHTON JR.TE SERET
★3★3478%-39HELD
11
RYAN MANNINGWR JURET
★3—422%——
0
EZEKIEL AVITWR JURET
★3★3351%—HELD
87
ROBERT SMITHWR JURET
★3—180%——
15
JOSIAH MCLAURINWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3161%—HELD
47
MAXWELL BROWNTE JURET
UNR—00%——
89
AJ SZYMANSKITE SERET
★3—00%——
19
JOSH RICHARDSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
8
MEKHAI WHITEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
JAHMARI POWELL-WONSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
25
RICARDO COOPER JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
7
ALEC HUGHESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
2
JAIDEN FAIRWR JURET
UNR—00%——
48
THOMAS MCCLUSKEYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
EMERSON SMITHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
SEAN WILLIAMSWR JURET
★3—00%——
88
KHALID JONESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
PARKER JONESWR SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL47TAL67PERF47RET25n=9 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL36TAL84PERF36RET99n=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB44TAL65PERF44RET82n=8 · 11 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸DB44TAL61PERF44RET66n=13 · 6 METRICS · 58 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON JACOB JR.HS RECRUITS★4UNR
KEVYN HUMESHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
BRAYDON LEEHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DEJUAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MEKHAI WHITEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KEYSHAWN FLOWERSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
RYAN HOWERTONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DIMITRY NICOLASHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ANTHONY REDDICKHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DAVON WATKINSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN HUSKEYBOWLING GREENCB★3★3
ALIOU BAHGEORGIAOT★4★3
ALAN HERRONSHORTEROTUNR★3
MJ MORRISNC STATEQB★4★3
ISAIAH WRIGHTBUFFALOIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAISHAWN BARHAMMICHIGANLB★4★4
COREY DYCHESCALIFORNIATE★3★3
FA'NAJAE GOTAYAUBURNLB★3UNR
COREY COLEYNC STATECB★3UNR
ANTWAIN LITTLETON JR.TEMPLERBUNRUNR
GAVIN GIBSONEAST CAROLINADB★3★3
RICO WALKERAUBURNTE★4★3
TAMARCUS COOLEYNC STATES★3★4
IAN MALONEYMISSOURI STATELBUNRUNR
DELMAR GLAZENFL DRAFT R3OL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES37%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS40%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#39NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8681COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
813 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST41% BACK41th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG41% BACK41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR25%25th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST66%66th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE