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HOME›TEAMS›MEMPHIS›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|RYAN SILVERFIELD|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
MEMPHIS80 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
53FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-13IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#460 BC / 25
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.2-5.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HNICHOLLS—W 42-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AARKANSAS STATE—W 55-504099+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 31-29807474-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HUTSA—L 28-31445656-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ATEMPLE—L 31-344377+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ATULSA—L 29-35395353-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HNAVY—W 35-1772222+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AUCF—L 7-24655353-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HSMU—W 28-25556666-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HEAST CAROLINA—L 29-30454040+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AHOUSTON#17L 13-31537777-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HTULANE—W 33-28373232+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
SETH HENIGANQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
PETER PARRISHQB SOPORTAL · LSU
★4★300%—FELL
4
JEREMIAH OATSVALLQB SEPORTAL · AUSTIN PEAY
★3★300%—HELD
5
GRANT GUNNELLQB SEPORTAL · ARIZONA
★3★300%—HELD
5
KEILON BROWNQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
MARQUAVIUS WEAVERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
BRANDON THOMASRB SERET
★3—00%——
0
RODRIGUES CLARKRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
11
KYLAN WATKINSRB JURET
★2—00%——
24
CAMERON FLEMINGRB SORET
★3—00%——
20
ASA MARTINRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
CAMERON WRIGHTWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
11
EDDIE LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
KOBY DRAKEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
ROC TAYLORWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
CALVIN AUSTIN IIIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
MARCAYLL JONESWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
3
ERIC RIVERSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
13
JAVON IVORYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
86
CADEN PRIESKORNTE SERET
UNR★400%—EMERGED
5
SEAN DYKESTE SERET
★2—00%——
84
KHI MATHIEUWR FRRET
★3—00%——
9
GABRIEL ROGERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JOHN HASSELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
DAVIN DYALTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
JEREMY TATE JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
KOBE WEBSTERWR FRRET
★3—00%——
81
SHAMAR NASHWR SOPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★4★300%—FELL
82
KA'DEDRICK RICHARDSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
ERRINGTON MCRAETE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
82
DIEGO MARTINEZWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROC TAYLORHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ANDREW JONESHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TYRESE JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ROYCE WHITEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TYRELL RABYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAVON NELSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JP MARTINHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
GREG RUBINHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MAK POUNDERSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
WILLIAM WHITLOW JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GRANT GUNNELLARIZONAPRO★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAHJ WASHINGTONUSCWR★3★3
JOSEPH DORCEUSTULANEDLUNRUNR
T.J. CARTERTCUS★3★3
EVERITT CUNNINGHAMSOUTHERN MISSDEUNR★3
TIMOTHY TAYLORUT MARTINRB★2★2
JOHN BROUSSARD JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDB★4—
CHANDLER STUMPELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BRADY WHITEELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
DAMONTE COXIEELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
RILEY PATTERSONELIGIBILITY UPPK★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#46NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8517COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1225 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST49% BACK49th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG49% BACK49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE