SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MEMPHIS›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|RYAN SILVERFIELD|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
MEMPHIS57 FPIAAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
58FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
43%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
16%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#601 BC / 19
BC RATIO
16%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs8.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.1
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE61
PERFORMANCE61
TALENT47
CONTINUITY43
DEFENSE34
PERFORMANCE34
TALENT52
CONTINUITY16
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HCHATTANOOGA—W 45-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6AGEORGIA STATE—W 38-164522+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13ATROY—W 28-7283636+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HARKANSAS—W 32-31846161+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 55-26412828+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HTULSA—W 45-7392424+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AUAB—L 24-312688+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 34-31567979-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10OCT 31ARICE—W 38-14231212+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 7HTULANE#18L 32-38516767+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AEAST CAROLINA—L 27-31447373-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 27HNAVY#23L 17-2816666+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 19ANC STATE—L 7-31686060+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL65PERF59RET2ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
BRENDON LEWISQB SEPORTAL · NEVADA
★3★39491%+11HELD
2
AJ HILLQB SONO SNAPS
★4★3477%-12FELL
5
ARRINGTON MAIDENQB SORET
★3★3282%—HELD
14
TY COLLINSQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
GRANT TROUTMANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB47TAL59PERF47RET79ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
GREG DESROSIERS JR.RB SERET
UNR★39142%+26EMERGED
5
SUTTON SMITHRB SERET
★3★38533%+18HELD
22
FRANK PEASANTRB SEPORTAL · MIDDLE TENNESSEE
★3★37018%+2HELD
21
MAKARI BODIFORDRB SORET
★3★3414%+34HELD
28
KHYAIR SPAINRB FRRET
UNR—353%+31—
23
CAMERON MATHEWSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
MARIO ROBINSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
AMIR THOMASRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE36TAL55PERF39RET49ROTATIONn=10 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CORTEZ BRAHAM JR.WR SEPORTAL · NEVADA
UNR★39426%+20EMERGED
9
JAMARI HAWKINSWR SERET
★3★39324%+1HELD
15
CHRISTIAN ROSSTE JURET
★3★38436%-21HELD
6
MARCELLO BUSSEYWR SERET
UNR—8218%-19—
32
MATT ADCOCKTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★38031%-32EMERGED
12
BRADY KLUSEWR JURET
★3—7915%+14—
8
BRYCE ANDERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★4★37727%-38FELL
0
JADON THOMPSONWR SEPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★4★3626%-11FELL
1
CJ SMITHWR SEPORTAL · PURDUE
★4★3554%-2FELL
11
GER-CARI CALDWELLWR SEPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA A&T
★3★3534%-63HELD
88
JERRY CROSSTE JUPORTAL · PENN STATE
★4★3434%—FELL
8
BRYCE DORSEYWR SORET
★3—422%——
10
KEONDE HENRYWR FRRET
★4—191%——
80
TJ HOLMESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—180%——
86
JONATHAN HARDINGTE FRTRUE FR
★3—70%——
82
LUKE LOGANTE SORET
UNR—70%——
18
XAVIER JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
84
NAHMIER ROBINSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
RAHIM HUTCHINS JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
ANDREW LESLIEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
JUSTICE SPANNWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
JAMAR JENKINSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL31TAL43PERF31RET37n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL51TAL37PERF51RET37n=8 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB59TAL51PERF59RET7n=5 · 11 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB44TAL59PERF44RET0n=10 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AJ HILLHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
XAVIER JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
IAN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
RAHIM HUTCHINS JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
XAVIER THOMPSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KENYON RIVERAHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JAQUENTIN MADISONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
WOLF WALKERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JOSIAH CLEMONSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ANDREW LESLIEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN14 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRENDON LEWISNEVADAQB★3★3
DRUE WATTSNEVADALB★3★3
SAM BRUMFIELDVIRGINIA TECHLBUNR★3
CORTEZ BRAHAM JR.NEVADAWRUNR★3
ISAIAH GREENWESTERN MICHIGANDLUNR★3
CHAUNCEY LOGAN JR.JAMES MADISONCBUNR★3
MARCUS BURRIS JR.INDIANADL★4★3
AUSTIN GENTLEHARVARDIOL★3★3
BENI MWAMBACHATTANOOGACBUNR★3
THOMARIUS WALKERKENNESAW STATEDLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT45 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XAVIER HILLCOLORADOOL★3★3
ELIJAH HERRINGFLORIDA STATELB★3★3
BRENDAN DOYLESTANFORDTEUNR★3
AN'DARIUS COFFEYPURDUEDB★3★3
DJ BELLUCFDB★3★3
BRYCE EDMONDSONUNLVLB★3★3
TAHJ RA-ELPURDUEDB★2UNR
JAMAURI CHISLOMSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATETEUNR★3
KEVEION'TA SPEARSSMUDT★3★3
BRETT KARHUNEW MEXICODEUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES88%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS86%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#60NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8569COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3632 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST8% BACK8th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG8% BACK8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR36%36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST0%0th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE