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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
ACC|MARIO CRISTOBAL|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
MIAMI#18 AP 11 FPIACC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
63%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
55%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-14IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#414 BC / 27
BC RATIO
47%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs9.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+20.3
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE100
PERFORMANCE100
TALENT85
CONTINUITY63
DEFENSE60
PERFORMANCE60
TALENT77
CONTINUITY55
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AFLORIDA—W 41-17928686+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HFLORIDA A&M—W 56-9————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HBALL STATE—W 62-01466+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 50-15504141+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HVIRGINIA TECH—W 38-34637878+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ACALIFORNIA—W 39-38665959+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ALOUISVILLE—W 52-45748585+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HFLORIDA STATE—W 36-14913838+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HDUKE—W 53-31506868+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AGEORGIA TECH—L 23-28675151+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HWAKE FOREST—W 42-14493030+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ASYRACUSE#20L 38-42666666+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28HIOWA STATE#15L 41-42518080+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB82TAL96PERF82RET5ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
CAM WARDQB SEPORTAL · WASHINGTON STATE
★3★49894%+32ROSE
9
EMORY WILLIAMSQB SERET
★3★3345%+7HELD
7
REESE POFFENBARGERQB SEPORTAL · UALBANY
★3★3202%—HELD
15
JUDD ANDERSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
ARISTIDES ANGELO JR.QB FRRET
UNR—00%——
81
RIPLY LUNAQB JURET
★2—00%——
18
JOE BORCHERSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
18
JOAO AREDEQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
NIKAO SMITHQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB83TAL95PERF83RET42ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
DAMIEN MARTINEZRB JUPORTAL · OREGON STATE
★3★49347%+28ROSE
4
MARK FLETCHER JR.RB SERET
★4—8632%+15—
2
JORDAN LYLERB JUNO SNAPS
★4—6211%+35—
3
AJAY ALLENRB SERET
★3★4506%+29ROSE
16
CHRIS JOHNSON JR.RB SERET
★4★3414%+26FELL
25
CHRIS WHEATLEY-HUMPHREYRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
TERRELL WALDEN IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
SYNCERE SAMPSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
JACK WHITEHOUSERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE86TAL85PERF86RET79ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
XAVIER RESTREPOWR SERET
★3—9730%+34—
8
ELIJAH ARROYOTE JURET
★4—9551%+23—
3
JACOLBY GEORGEWR SERET
★4—8923%+28—
7
ISAIAH HORTONWR SERET
★4★48722%+11HELD
11
SAMUEL BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—8118%+11—
84
CAM MCCORMICKTE SERET
★3★37021%-17HELD
18
RILEY WILLIAMSTE JURET
★4★36315%+1FELL
9
ELIJA LOFTONTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—5912%+39—
2
JOSHISA TRADERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3473%—FELL
1
RAY RAY JOSEPH JR.WR SERET
★4★3463%-4FELL
86
COLE MCCONATHY IITE SONO SNAPS
★3—392%——
13
SHEMAR KIRKWR SERET
UNR★3301%—EMERGED
11
NY CARRWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3261%—FELL
44
OWEN RUSKAVICHTE JURET
UNR—191%——
82
CHANCE ROBINSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3130%—FELL
85
JACKSON CARVERTE JURET
★3—111%——
1
ROBBY WASHINGTONWR JURET
★4★300%—FELL
86
KOLBY LUNAWR JURET
★2—00%——
40
BRENNAN BURTONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
HUNTER CARVERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
ANDREW COHENWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
DYLAN REIMANTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
NICK THOMASWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL76TAL83PERF76RET72n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL80TAL84PERF80RET45n=11 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸LB69TAL88PERF69RET75n=7 · 10 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸DB57TAL65PERF57RET58n=7 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN SCOTTHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
ARMONDO BLOUNTHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
MARQUISE LIGHTFOOTHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
JOSHISA TRADERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
NY CARRHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BOOKER PICKETT JR.HS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
ZAQUAN PATTERSONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ADARIUS HAYESHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JORDAN LYLEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
CHANCE ROBINSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM WARDWASHINGTON STATEQB★3★4
DAMIEN MARTINEZOREGON STATERB★3★4
SAM BROWNHOUSTONWRUNR★4
TYLER BARONLOUISVILLEEDGE★4★4
MARLEY COOKMIDDLE TENNESSEEDL★3★4
MISHAEL POWELLWASHINGTONS★3★4
ZACH CARPENTERINDIANAIOL★3★3
C.J. CLARKNC STATEDL★4★3
ELIJAH ALSTONMARSHALLEDGE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT34 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JARED HARRISON-HUNTESMUDL★3★3
TYLER VAN DYKEWISCONSINQB★4★3
JAHFARI HARVEYSMUDE★4★3
COLBIE YOUNGGEORGIAWRUNR★4
HENRY PARRISH JR.OLE MISSRB★4UNR
DAVONTE BROWNFLORIDA STATEDB★4★3
THOMAS GOREGEORGIA TECHDL★2★3
BRASHARD SMITHSMURB★4★3
JAYDEN WAYNEWASHINGTONLB★4★3
DON CHANEYLOUISVILLERB★4UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES56%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS35%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#4NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
14OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9110COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1428 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST41% BACK41th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG41% BACK41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR72%72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST58%58th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE