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HOME›TEAMS›MINNESOTA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|P.J. FLECK|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
MINNESOTA48 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#383 BC / 27
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.1-5.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.6
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 48-10855+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HFRESNO STATE#18W 21-14428888-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HMIAMI (OH)—W 26-3353939+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AMARYLAND—L 13-42835555+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HIOWA#25L 31-48708383-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AOHIO STATE#3L 14-301009696-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ANEBRASKA—L 28-53826262+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HINDIANA—W 38-31594747+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AILLINOIS—L 31-55582626+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HPURDUE—W 41-10496767-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HNORTHWESTERN#21L 14-24694848+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AWISCONSIN—W 37-15758686-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
ZACK ANNEXSTADQB JURET
UNR—00%——
2
TANNER MORGANQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
CASEY O'BRIENQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
JOHNNY SANTAGAQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET77NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
MOHAMED IBRAHIMRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
BRYCE WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
RODNEY SMITHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
SHANNON BROOKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
JONATHAN FEMI-COLERB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
DOMINIK LONDONRB —RET
★3—00%——
8
NOLAN EDMONDSRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
98
MAX JANESTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
18
CLAY GEARYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
KO KIEFTTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
DEMETRIUS DOUGLASWR JURET
★3—00%——
85
BRYCE WITHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TYLER JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
CHRIS AUTMAN-BELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
JAKE PAULSONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
RASHOD BATEMANWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
17
SETH GREENTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
44
COLTON BEEBETE JURET
UNR—00%——
8
BROCK ANNEXSTADWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
SAMUEL PICKERIGNTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
HARRY VAN DYNEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
CLAYTON WITHERSPOONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
TRUE THOMPSONWR SERET
★2—00%——
87
YALE VAN DYNEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
MATT MORSEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
11
JORNELL MANNSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
PAUL GOSSAGEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
96
NATHAN BURSCHTE —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CURTIS DUNLAPHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
DANIEL FAALELEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
RASHOD BATEMANHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ALEX REIGELSPERGERHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JAMAAL TEAGUEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
NOLAN EDMONDSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JORNELL BROOKSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TERELL SMITHHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BREVYN SPANN-FORDHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
BENJAMIN SAPP IIIHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HUNTER REGISTERSOUTHERNWRUNRUNR
DEMRY CROFTTENNESSEE STATEQBUNRUNR
MELVIN HOLLAND JR.NOT LISTEDWRUNR—
BRANDON LINGENNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CODY POOCKNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
KENDARIAN HANDY-HOLLYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ERIC CARTERNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
CONOR RHODANOT LISTEDQBUNR—
RYAN SANTOSONOT LISTEDPUNR—
NATE WOZNIAKNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#38NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8491COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST49% BACK49th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG49% BACK49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE