SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MINNESOTA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|P.J. FLECK|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
MINNESOTA#10 AP 18 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
67FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#451 BC / 22
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.9
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HSOUTH DAKOTA STATE—W 28-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AFRESNO STATE—W 38-35403939+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 35-32263434+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28APURDUE—W 38-31645151+40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HILLINOIS—W 40-17745454+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HNEBRASKA—W 34-7835959+32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ARUTGERS—W 42-7581010+81BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HMARYLAND—W 52-10812727+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HPENN STATE#9W 31-26939696-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AIOWA#15L 19-23698585+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ANORTHWESTERN—W 38-22653030+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HWISCONSIN#11L 17-38779292-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET45NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TANNER MORGANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
JACOB CLARKQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
JOHNNY SANTAGAQB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
COLE KRAMERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
CASEY O'BRIENQB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
ZACK ANNEXSTADQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
JOHNNY SANTAGAQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
MOHAMED IBRAHIMRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
BRYCE WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
1
RODNEY SMITHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
SHANNON BROOKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
PRESTON JELENRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
TREY POTTSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
1
CAM WILEYRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
JASON WILLIAMSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
CLAY GEARYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
DEMETRIUS DOUGLASWR JURET
★3—00%——
6
HARRY VAN DYNEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
BREVYN SPANN-FORDTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
BRYCE WITHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TYLER JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
CHRIS AUTMAN-BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
JAKE PAULSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
13
RASHOD BATEMANWR JURET
★4—00%——
17
SETH GREENTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
42
KO KIEFTTE SERET
★3—00%——
8
BROCK ANNEXSTADWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
SAMUEL PICKERIGNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CLAYTON WITHERSPOONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
26
TRUE THOMPSONWR SERET
★2—00%——
12
ERIK GIBSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
19
NNAMDI ADIM-MADUMEREWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
MICHAEL BROWN-STEPHENSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
PETER UDOIBOKWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JORNELL BROOKS IIWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
8
LARRY WRIGHT IIIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
JIMMY BUCKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
NICK KALLERUPTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYLER NUBINHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JACOB CLARKHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
RASHAD CHENEYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JJ GUEDETHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
NNAMDI ADIM-MADUMEREHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JASON WILLIAMSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DEEVE HARRISHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DONALD WILLISHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JAMES GORDON IVHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
MJ ANDERSONHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAKE CASHMANNFL DRAFT R5LBUNR—
EMMIT CARPENTERELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
JERRY GIBSONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
PAYTON JORDAHLELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
GARY MOOREELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JARED WEYLERELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
ANTONIO SHENAULTELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JACOB HUFFELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JULIAN HUFFELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
O.J. SMITHELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#45NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8541COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST99% BACK99th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG99% BACK99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR45%45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE