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HOME›TEAMS›MINNESOTA›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|P.J. FLECK|—RECORD3-4|CONF—
MINNESOTA42 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
57FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#383 BC / 28
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-4ACTUALvs3.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.9
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE7 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
70MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24HMICHIGAN—L 24-49908080-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AMARYLAND—L 44-45734646+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7AILLINOIS—W 41-14723131+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HIOWA#16L 7-35699191-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HPURDUE—W 34-31716767-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12ANEBRASKA—W 24-17827474-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19AWISCONSIN—L 17-20779898-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TANNER MORGANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
CASEY O'BRIENQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
JOHNNY SANTAGAQB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
ZACK ANNEXSTADQB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
COLE KRAMERQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
JACOB CLARKQB SERET
★3—00%——
11
LONENOA FAOAQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET34NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
MOHAMED IBRAHIMRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
BRYCE WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
25
PRESTON JELENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
TREY POTTSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
CAM WILEYRB SORET
★3—00%——
28
JASON WILLIAMSONRB FRRET
★3—00%——
3
KY THOMASRB FRTRUE FR
★4★400%—HELD
31
KENDALL MOORERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DANIEL JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
18
CLAY GEARYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
KO KIEFTTE SERET
★3—00%——
88
BREVYN SPANN-FORDTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
BRYCE WITHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
CHRIS AUTMAN-BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
JAKE PAULSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
13
RASHOD BATEMANWR JURET
★4—00%——
7
MICHAEL BROWN-STEPHENSWR SERET
★3—00%——
17
SETH GREENTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
BROCK ANNEXSTADWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
DEMETRIUS DOUGLASWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
SAMUEL PICKERIGNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CLAYTON WITHERSPOONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
26
TRUE THOMPSONWR SERET
★2—00%——
19
NNAMDI ADIM-MADUMEREWR SORET
★3—00%——
88
PETER UDOIBOKWR JURET
★3—00%——
5
DOUG EMILIENWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
LARRY WRIGHT IIIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
27
JIMMY BUCKWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
87
NICK KALLERUPTE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JONATHAN MANNWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
WYATT SCHROEDERTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
83
AUSTIN HENDERSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ITAYVION BROWNHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
DANIEL JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KY THOMASHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JAH JOYNERHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JAQWONDIS BURNSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JONATHAN MANNHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DOUG EMILIENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DANNY STRIGGOWHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
JALEN LOGAN-REDDINGHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
MARTES LEWISHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MAYAN AHANOTURUTGERSDL★3UNR
KIONDRE THOMASKANSAS STATEDB★3UNR
TYLER JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R5WR★3—
CARTER COUGHLINNFL DRAFT R7LB★4—
KAMAL MARTINNFL DRAFT R5LB★3—
ANTOINE WINFIELD JR.NFL DRAFT R2DB★3—
CHRIS WILLIAMSONNFL DRAFT R7DBUNR—
RODNEY SMITHELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
SHANNON BROOKSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
WINSTON DELATTIBOUDEREELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#38NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8488COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST63% BACK63th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG63% BACK63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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