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HOME›TEAMS›MINNESOTA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|P.J. FLECK|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
MINNESOTA27 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
69FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#374 BC / 18
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.8
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
54MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HOHIO STATE#6L 31-45999999-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HMIAMI (OH)—W 31-26204444+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ACOLORADO—W 30-0662020+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HBOWLING GREEN—L 10-14201515+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2APURDUE—W 20-13677373+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HNEBRASKA—W 30-23827373+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HMARYLAND—W 34-16775454+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ANORTHWESTERN—W 41-14691919+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HILLINOIS—L 6-14645151+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AIOWA#23L 22-27708080+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AINDIANA—W 35-14732323+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HWISCONSIN—W 23-13859595-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
TANNER MORGANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
COLE KRAMERQB SERET
★3—00%——
5
ZACK ANNEXSTADQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
ATHAN KALIAKMANISQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
12
JACOB CLARKQB SERET
★3—00%——
11
LONENOA FAOAQB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
MOHAMED IBRAHIMRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
BRYCE WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
27
JORDAN NUBINRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
3
KY THOMASRB FRRET
★4★400%—HELD
BUCKY IRVINGRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
23
TREY POTTSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
CAM WILEYRB SORET
★3—00%——
25
PRESTON JELENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
KENDALL MOORERB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DANIEL JACKSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
87
NICK KALLERUPTE SERET
UNR—00%——
BRADY BOYDWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
42
KO KIEFTTE SERET
★3—00%——
88
BREVYN SPANN-FORDTE SERET
★3—00%——
7
CHRIS AUTMAN-BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
MICHAEL BROWN-STEPHENSWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
DYLAN WRIGHTWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★4★300%—FELL
85
BRYCE WITHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
CLAY GEARYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
BROCK ANNEXSTADWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
SAMUEL PICKERIGNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
NNAMDI ADIM-MADUMEREWR SORET
★3—00%——
88
PETER UDOIBOKWR JURET
★3—00%——
5
DOUG EMILIENWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
DINO KALIAKMANISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
LARRY WRIGHT IIIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
JAMESON GEERSTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
0
LE'MEKE BROCKINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
JONATHAN MANNWR FRRET
★3—00%——
82
WYATT SCHROEDERTE JURET
★2—00%——
83
AUSTIN HENDERSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
23
DYLAN HILLARD-MCGILLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
81
QUENTIN REDDINGWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STEVEN ORTIZHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
BUCKY IRVINGHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ATHAN KALIAKMANISHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
DEVEN EASTERNHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
CAMERON JAMESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SAIA MAPAKAITOLOHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LEMEKE BROCKINGTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JACOB SCHUSTERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DEVON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
AUSTIN BOOKERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN WRIGHTTEXAS A&MWR★4★3
JACK GIBBENSABILENE CHRISTIANILBUNR★3
NYLES PINCKNEYCLEMSONDT★4★3
KARTER SHAWUTAH STATEOG★2★3
VAL MARTINNC STATEDTUNR★3
MATTHEW TRICKETTKENT STATEK★2★2
WILL MOBLEYTEMPLEKUNRUNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEEVE HARRISOLD DOMINIONDL★3★3
SETH GREENHOUSTONTE★3★3
KEONTE SCHADOREGON STATEDLUNR★3
NOAH HICKCOXILLINOIS STATEDL★3★3
BENJAMIN ST-JUSTENFL DRAFT R3DB★4—
RASHOD BATEMANNFL DRAFT R1WR★4—
JAKE PAULSONNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
JASON WILLIAMSONNOT LISTEDRB★3—
CADEN FEYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ABNER DUBARNOT LISTEDDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#37NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8754COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
712 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST89% BACK89th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG89% BACK89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE