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HOME›TEAMS›MISSOURI›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SEC|ELI DRINKWITZ|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
MISSOURI#8 AP 16 FPISEC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
83FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
78%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
77%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#345 BC / 19
BC RATIO
29%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE90
PERFORMANCE90
TALENT72
CONTINUITY78
DEFENSE94
PERFORMANCE94
TALENT70
CONTINUITY77
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
70MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSOUTH DAKOTA—W 35-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 23-19352424+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HKANSAS STATE#18W 30-27519090+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HMEMPHIS—W 34-27545959+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AVANDERBILT—W 38-21581717+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HLSU#12L 39-49969292+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AKENTUCKY—W 38-21788484+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 34-12856262+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AGEORGIA#4L 21-30999999-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HTENNESSEE#17W 36-7899090+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HFLORIDA—W 33-31907070+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AARKANSAS—W 48-14775959+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29AOHIO STATE#10W 14-3999898-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB45TAL70PERF45RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
BRADY COOKQB SERET
★3—9198%+30—
21
SAM HORNQB JURET
★4—172%——
12
JAKE GARCIAQB SEPORTAL · MIAMI
★4★400%+11HELD
5
GABARRI JOHNSONQB SONO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
15
TOMMY LOCKQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
BRETT BROWNQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
DYLAN LAIBLEQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB46TAL75PERF46RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CODY SCHRADERRB SERET
UNR—10079%+7—
8
NATHANIEL PEATRB SERET
★3—7221%-9—
20
JAMAL ROBERTSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
BRYCE JACKSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
TAVORUS JONESRB JURET
★4★300%—FELL
35
MICHAEL COXRB JURET
UNR—00%+41—
38
CHRISTOPHER KREHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
ANTHONY FAVROWRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE62TAL78PERF61RET58ONE OWNERn=6 · 7 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
THEO WEASE JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★5—9628%+2—
3
LUTHER BURDEN IIIWR JURET
★5—9527%+6—
5
MOOKIE COOPERWR SERET
★4★39426%-23FELL
87
BRETT NORFLEETTE SENO SNAPS
★4—8651%+12—
80
TYLER STEPHENSTE SERET
★3—7842%+19—
6
MEKHI MILLERWR SERET
★3★37012%+6HELD
2
MARQUIS JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★4473%+36ROSE
86
JORDON HARRISTE SENO SNAPS
★3—437%——
1
DANIEL BLOODWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3362%—HELD
13
DANNIS JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3341%+26FELL
5
JOSH MANNINGWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3130%——
81
SHAWN HENDERSHOTTE JURET
UNR—111%——
87
MAX WHISNERTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
13
DEMARIYON HOUSTONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
80
RYAN HOERSTKAMPTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
24
MICAH MANNINGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
LOGAN MUCKEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
TUCKER MILLERTE SORET
★3—00%——
81
NOAH FLASKAMPWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL50TAL65PERF50RET79n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL81TAL64PERF81RET83n=8 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB75TAL58PERF75RET50n=4 · 10 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB70TAL77PERF70RET82n=11 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRETT NORFLEETHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
JOSHUA MANNINGHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MARVIN BURKS JR.HS RECRUITS★4UNR
GABARRI JOHNSONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
LOGAN REICHERTHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MARQUIS JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JORDON HARRISHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAMAL ROBERTSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAHKAI LANGHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DANIEL BLOODHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM'RON JOHNSONHOUSTONOT★3★4
JAKE GARCIAMIAMIQB★4★4
MARCELLUS JOHNSONEASTERN MICHIGANOT★4★4
THEO WEASEOKLAHOMAWRUNR★4
TRE'VEZ JOHNSONFLORIDAS★3★3
AUSTIN FIRESTONENORTHWESTERNDL★3★3
SIDNEY WILLIAMSFLORIDA STATELB★3★3
NYLES GADDYJACKSON STATEEDGEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRAJAN JEFFCOATARKANSASDLUNR★3
TAUSKIE DOVEMEMPHISWR★3★3
DOMINIC LOVETTGEORGIAWR★4★4
JALANI WILLIAMSKENT STATEDB★4★4
ARDEN WALKERCOLORADODE★3★3
DEVIN NICHOLSONKENT STATELB★3★3
LUKE GRIFFINPURDUEOL★3★3
ELIJAH YOUNGWESTERN KENTUCKYRB★3UNR
BOBBY LAWRENCECOLORADO STATEOL★3UNR
DANIEL ROBLEDONORTHERN ARIZONADLUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES8%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS51%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#34NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8723COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
820 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR79%79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST82%82th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE