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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
CONFERENCE USA|CASEY WOODS|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
MISSOURI STATE118 FPICUSA · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
14FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
33%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
17%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1310 BC / 14
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT45
CONTINUITY33
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT54
CONTINUITY17
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
96MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
26MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-70REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 1PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5ATEXAS A&M#10L 0-50969696-86BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HLINDENWOOD—W 48-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19HMARSHALL—UPCOMING301818-8STILL TO COME
4SEP 26ASMU#17UPCOMING788787-77HARDEST REMAINING TIER
6OCT 8AWESTERN KENTUCKY—UPCOMING371616-6STILL TO COME
7OCT 14HKENNESAW STATE—UPCOMING42020-10STILL TO COME
8OCT 20ADELAWARE—UPCOMING32222-12STILL TO COME
9OCT 27HSAM HOUSTON—UPCOMING1566+4STILL TO COME
10NOV 7AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—UPCOMING351919-9STILL TO COME
11NOV 14HNEW MEXICO STATE—UPCOMING21414-4STILL TO COME
12NOV 21AJACKSONVILLE STATE—UPCOMING332929-19STILL TO COME
13NOV 28HLIBERTY—UPCOMING432727-17STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB21TAL28PERF21RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
SKYLER LOCKLEARQB SEPORTAL · UTEP
UNR★349100%-25EMERGED
2
HENRY BELIN IVQB SEPORTAL · DUKE
★3★300%-26HELD
7
ELIJAH LEONARDQB SORET
★2—00%——
12
BRETT OTTENSMEYERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
EIAN FINKLEYQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB43TAL37PERF44RET72ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
BREEZY DUBARRB SEPORTAL · BOISE STATE
★3★34628%——
22
RAMONE GREEN JR.RB JURET
UNR—4628%+36—
40
CONNOR LAIRRB SERET
UNR—4628%-59—
10
KING DAVISRB FRRET
★3—2617%——
1
JAMBRES DUBARRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%+2—
43
AMAR'E JOHNSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
3
IVERSON YOUNGRB JURET
★3—00%+33—
21
JOSH JOYNERRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE40TAL40PERF40RET73ONE OWNERn=11 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JERON ASKRENTE SORET
★2★26555%-14HELD
0
JMARIYAE ROBINSONWR SERET
★3—6138%+17—
85
DILLON HIPPTE SORET
★3★34536%—HELD
13
ISAIAH MYERSWR SEPORTAL · WESTERN KENTUCKY
UNR★34423%+35EMERGED
6
MEKHI MILLERWR SEPORTAL · TULSA
★3★33115%-3HELD
17
BRENDON MCQUEENWR SORET
UNR—2713%——
11
MAKAI COPEWR SERET
★3★3168%-15HELD
87
WITT EDWARDSWR SOPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★4★3109%—FELL
83
AMARE WHETSELLWR FRRET
UNR—03%——
84
ANTONIO ROBINSONWR SERET
UNR—03%——
8
ISAIAH MCMORRISWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
86
JAMES REXROATTE SORET
★3★200%—FELL
80
MICHAEL OSEI-BONSUTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
SEAN REESEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
AJ BELL JR.WR FRRET
UNR—00%——
34
JORDAN MANUELWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
82
BRYCEN DORSEYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
42
DEVIN STALEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
46
CASH POMEROYTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
TORRIN TEAGUEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL27TAL37PERF27RET38n=8 · 2 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL40TAL26PERF40RET33n=14 · 7 METRICS · 75 OBS
▸LB43TAL37PERF43RET85n=8 · 10 METRICS · 39 OBS
▸DB47TAL48PERF47RET47n=13 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS9 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MAURICE JONES JR.HS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JOSIAH TURNERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DEION THOMASHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CHASE MIDEAUHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JEDRICK RUSSELL JR.HS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BRETT OTTENSMEYERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
SANTIAGO CASTILLOHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JERRICK MARTINHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AMAR'E JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN16 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN BROOKSKANSASEDGE★4★3
WILLIAM DIXONVMIOTUNR★3
WILLIAM DIXON IIIVMIOTUNR★3
WITT EDWARDSVANDERBILTTE★4★3
ISAIAH VILLANUEVAJACKSON STATEIOLUNR★3
KING LARGESMUOT★3★3
JALILE ELLIOTTWILSONEDGEUNR★3
JOSH LUKUSAMIAMI (OH)EDGE★3★3
JALILE ELLIOTTBARTONEDGEUNR★3
BREEZY DUBARBOISE STATERB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ WESOLAKCOASTAL CAROLINADL★4★3
AHMAD POOLECOASTAL CAROLINADLUNRUNR
RONNEL JOHNSONJACKSONVILLE STATEWRUNR★3
MITCHELL TONEYCOASTAL CAROLINADLUNR★3
TRISTIAN GARDNERCOASTAL CAROLINAWRUNR★3
DEZMOND BARNESCOASTAL CAROLINADL★3UNR
DEUCE BAILEYCOASTAL CAROLINAQB★3UNR
BRAXTON STARNESCOASTAL CAROLINALBUNRUNR
CASH HUDSONELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
MARK HUTCHINSONELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES83%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS56%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#131NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8357COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2111 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST19% BACK19th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG19% BACK19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR38%38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST47%47th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE