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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NC STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|DAVE DOEREN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
NC STATE#20 AP 16 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
76FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#344 BC / 18
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.3-2.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.4
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 45-0471616+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11AMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 10-24807474+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HFURMAN—W 45-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25HCLEMSON#14W 27-21989595-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HLOUISIANA TECH—W 34-27451717+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 33-7644343+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AMIAMI—L 30-31917676+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HLOUISVILLE—W 28-13586060+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AFLORIDA STATE—W 28-14866060+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AWAKE FOREST#15L 42-45557171+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HSYRACUSE—W 41-17504040+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HNORTH CAROLINA—W 34-30885555+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET33NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
AARON MCLAUGHLINQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
13
DEVIN LEARYQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
10
BEN FINLEYQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
ZO WALLACEQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
DEMIE SUMO-KARNGBAYERB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
8
RICKY PERSON JR.RB JURET
★4—00%——
28
DEMARCUS JONES IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
ZONOVAN KNIGHTRB SORET
★4—00%——
34
DELBERT MIMMS IIIRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
JORDAN HOUSTONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
JULIAN GRAYRB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
38
JOEY RAYRB SORET
UNR—00%——
22
MICAH CROWELLRB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
3
JORDAN POOLERB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
30
KEON CAUDLE JR.RB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JAKOLBE BALDWINWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
DEVIN CARTERWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
15
KEYON LESANEWR SERET
★3—00%——
28
DYLAN PARHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
C.J. RILEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
EMEKA EMEZIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
THAYER THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TRENT PENNIXTE SERET
★3—00%——
15
CHRIS TOUDLETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
PORTER ROOKSWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
21
JALEN COITWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
87
KAMERON WALKERTE SORET
★3—00%——
9
ANTHONY SMITHWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
ERIC COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
DYLAN AUTENRIETHTE SERET
★3—00%——
80
JUSTIN DUNNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
JASIAH PROVILLONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
45
CAMDEN WOODSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
20
MICHAEL FOXWR JURET
UNR—00%——
39
MATTHEW ALDERFERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSH CRABTREEWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
43
EZEMDI UDOHTE SORET
★3—00%——
88
JACKSON DESILVAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
TITUS DORSEYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
14
CEDD SEABROUGHTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
48
FRED SEABROUGH JR.TE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
46
ANDREW JAYNETE FRRET
UNR—00%——
41
TIMOTHY DAWKINSTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
44
YATES JOHNSONTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
31
DILLON MOSLEYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
35
CHRISTOPHER SCOTT JR.WR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICAH CROWELLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JORDAN POOLEHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
AARON MCLAUGHLINHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
TRAVALI PRICEHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
CHASE HATTLEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CADEN FORDHAMHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JULIAN GRAYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ZYUN REEVESHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
FRED SEABROUGHHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
THORNTON GENTRYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DERREK PITTSMARSHALLSUNR★3
CYRUS FAGANFLORIDA STATES★4★3
CHANDLER ZAVALAFAIRMONT STATEIOLUNR★3
CORY DURDENFLORIDA STATEDL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT8 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALIK DUNLAPTEXAS TECHDB★3★3
TAIYON PALMERTROYLB★4★4
VAL MARTINMINNESOTADLUNR★3
BAILEY HOCKMANMIDDLE TENNESSEEQB★4★3
ISAAC DUFFYUALBANYDBUNRUNR
ALIM MCNEILLNFL DRAFT R3DT★4—
CARY ANGELINEELIGIBILITY UPTE★4—
THOMAS RUOCCHIOELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#34NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8677COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
411 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR33%33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE