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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEBRASKA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|SCOTT FROST|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
NEBRASKA57 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#236 BC / 20
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.7-6.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.3
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 8HCOLORADO—L 28-33623939+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HTROY—L 19-24185353+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AMICHIGAN#14L 10-56959393-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HPURDUE—L 28-42496767-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AWISCONSIN—L 24-41758686-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ANORTHWESTERN#21L 31-34694848+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HMINNESOTA—W 53-28666666-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HBETHUNE-COOKMAN—W 45-9————NON-FBS OPPONENT
10NOV 3AOHIO STATE#3L 31-361009696-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HILLINOIS—W 54-35582626+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HMICHIGAN STATE—W 9-6767878-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AIOWA#25L 28-31708383-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
ANDREW BUNCHQB JURET
★3—00%——
9
ADRIAN MARTINEZQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
NOAH VEDRALQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET73NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
AUSTIN ROSERB SERET
UNR—00%——
37
WYATT MAZOURRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
MAURICE WASHINGTONRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
22
GREG BELLRB SERET
★2—00%——
21
MIKALE WILBONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
DEVINE OZIGBORB SERET
UNR—00%——
49
AUSTIN HEMPHILLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
TRE BRYANTRB JURET
★3—00%——
33
JAYLIN BRADLEYRB SORET
★3—00%——
46
CORBIN RUTHRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
BO KITRELLRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
AUSTIN ALLENTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
JD SPIELMANWR SERET
★3—00%——
12
KATERIAN LEGRONETE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
19
MIKE WILLIAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
KADE WARNERWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
20
MILES JONESWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
BRYAN REIMERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
STANLEY MORGAN JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
TYJON LINDSEYWR SERET
★4—00%——
86
JACK STOLLTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
KURT RAFDALTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
JARON WOODYARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
CONOR YOUNGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
45
TY CHAFFINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
TODD HONASWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
CHRISTIAN BANKERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
JAEVON MCQUITTYWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
40
BRIAN PEREZTE SERET
UNR—00%——
39
ANDREW THURMANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
BRANDON ROBBINSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
13
JUSTIN MCGRIFFWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
41
JUSTIN HOLMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
KEATON HENRYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
CHAD ALIOTH JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ADRIAN MARTINEZHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
CAM JURGENSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
MAURICE WASHINGTONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
CAM'RON JONESHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TATE WILDEMANHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
CALEB TANNORHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
C.J. SMITHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DOMINICK WATTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANDRE HUNTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MILES JONESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEYAN WILLIAMSBALL STATEWRUNRUNR
TANNER LEENFL DRAFT R6QBUNR—
SEDRICK KINGELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
PATRICK O'BRIENELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
MARCUS NEWBYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
CHRIS WEBERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
LUKE MCNITTNOT LISTEDFBUNR—
GABE RAHNNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DREW BROWNNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
ZACK DARLINGTONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#23NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8710COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE