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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEBRASKA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|SCOTT FROST|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
NEBRASKA47 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
83FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#188 BC / 25
BC RATIO
25%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.1-5.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 35-212066+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7ACOLORADO—L 31-34663838+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 44-8241212+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AILLINOIS—W 42-38745454+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HOHIO STATE#3L 7-4899100100-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HNORTHWESTERN—W 13-10653030+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AMINNESOTA#10L 7-34679191-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HINDIANA—L 31-38628383-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2APURDUE—L 27-31645151+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HWISCONSIN#11L 21-37779292-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMARYLAND—W 54-7812727+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HIOWA#15L 24-27698585-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
ANDREW BUNCHQB JURET
★3—00%——
9
ADRIAN MARTINEZQB SERET
★4—00%——
NOAH VEDRALQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
MATT MASKERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
BRAYDEN MILLERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
DEDRICK MILLSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
37
WYATT MAZOURRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
JAYLIN BRADLEYRB SORET
★3—00%——
26
MAURICE WASHINGTONRB JURET
★4—00%——
14
RAHMIR JOHNSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
49
AUSTIN HEMPHILLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
43
CONNOR RUTHRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
MOSES BRYANTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
46
CORBIN RUTHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
RONALD THOMPKINSRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
29
COOPER JEWETTRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
AUSTIN ALLENTE JURET
★3—00%——
9
KANAWAI NOAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
JD SPIELMANWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
JAEVON MCQUITTYWR SORET
★4—00%——
19
MIKE WILLIAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
32
BRODY BELTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
KADE WARNERWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
1
WAN'DALE ROBINSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
3
DARIEN CHASEWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
87
CHRIS HICKMANTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
JACK STOLLTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
KURT RAFDALTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
10
LUKE MCCAFFREYWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
3
JARON WOODYARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
45
TY CHAFFINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
TODD HONASWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
CHRISTIAN BANKERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
TRAVIS VOKOLEKTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
BENNETT FOLKERSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
ANDRE HUNTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
MILES JONESWR SORET
★3—00%——
48
BRYSON KRULLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
12
KATERIAN LEGRONETE FRRET
★3—00%——
85
WYATT LIEWERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
BRIAN PEREZTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DEMARIYON HOUSTONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
46
JOHN GOODWINTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
AUSTIN JABLONSKIWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
ZACH WEINMASTERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WAN'DALE ROBINSONHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
NICK HENRICHHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
NOA POLA-GATESHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
BRYCE BENHARTHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TY ROBINSONHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
LUKE MCCAFFREYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DARIEN CHASEHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DEMARIYON HOUSTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAMIE NANCEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
RAHMIR JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYJON LINDSEYOREGON STATEWR★4UNR
AUSTIN ROSEELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
MICK STOLTENBERGELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
GREG BELLELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
MIKALE WILBONELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TRE NEALELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
FREEDOM AKINMOLADUNELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
LUKE GIFFORDELIGIBILITY UPOLBUNR—
MATT JARZYNKAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
PEYTON NEWELLELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#18NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8880COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST70% BACK70th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG70% BACK70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE