SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEVADA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|JAY NORVELL|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NEVADA101 FPIMWC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#950 BC / 19
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.7-7.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.8
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ANORTHWESTERN#17L 20-31707979-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HTOLEDO—L 24-37296565-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HIDAHO STATE—L 28-30————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23AWASHINGTON STATE—L 7-45556969-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AFRESNO STATE—L 21-41313737-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HHAWAI'I—W 35-211755+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ACOLORADO STATE—L 42-44425656-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HAIR FORCE—L 42-4511818-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ABOISE STATE#22L 14-41477171-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 59-143344+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 23-42395858-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HUNLV—W 23-16181212-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET50NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
CRISTIAN SOLANOQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
DAVID CORNWELLQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
GRIFFIN DAHNQB SORET
UNR—00%——
6
TY GANGIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MALIK HENRYQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET25NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
RUSSELL BOOZERB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
ROGER NEALRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
BLAKE WRIGHTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
KELTON MOORERB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
JAXSON KINCAIDERB SERET
★2—00%——
39
AUNDRE CARTERRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
WYATT DEMPSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
TUCKER MELCHERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
JACOB DRAHOSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
3
KALEB FOSSUMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ANDREW CELISWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
BRANDON SCOTTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
11
MCLANE MANNIXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
31
REAGAN ROBERSONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
TRAE CARTER-WELLSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
14
DOMINIC CHRISTIANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
BRENDAN O'LEARY-ORANGEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
TREVION ARMSTRONGWR SORET
★3—00%——
4
ELIJAH COOKSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
IAN ZAMUDIOWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
10
BEN PUTMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
RYAN BROCKSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
TERRELL JOHNSONTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
BRANDON THOMPSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
CARLOS STAHLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JACOB PUENTEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
COLIN FLANNERYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
18
REESE NEVILLEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
THEO GOODWINWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
44
KORI COLLONSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
86
BRANDON BROOKSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYSON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KAYMEN CURETONHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
MARQUETTE JACKSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MCLANE MANNIXHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
AUSTIN ARNOLDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LAMIN TOURAYHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
DOMINIC PETERSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CHRIS GREENHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
GRAY DAVISHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
ELIJAH COOKSHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES BUTLERIOWARBUNRUNR
KENDALL JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
TYLER STEWARTNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
RANDY UZOMANOT LISTEDDBUNR—
AUSTIN CARROWNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
COLTON CONCELLOSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ELIJAH MITCHELLNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JERICO RICHARDSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ALEX BERTRANDONOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JARRED GIPSONNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#95NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7927COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR50%50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE