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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRONCO MENDENHALL|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
NEW MEXICO106 FPIMWC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
35%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
49%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#2010 BC / 5
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.1-6.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.5
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE71
PERFORMANCE71
TALENT44
CONTINUITY35
DEFENSE1
PERFORMANCE1
TALENT54
CONTINUITY49
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
29MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 24HMONTANA STATE—L 31-35————NON-FBS OPPONENT
1AUG 31AARIZONA—L 39-61603939-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AAUBURN—L 19-45887676-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HFRESNO STATE—L 21-38363737-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 50-40777+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HAIR FORCE—W 52-3711717-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AUTAH STATE—W 50-45292121-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ACOLORADO STATE—L 6-17303030-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HWYOMING—L 45-491214140BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 21-16451111+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HWASHINGTON STATE—W 38-35464949-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AHAWAI'I—L 30-38222020-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB71TAL78PERF71RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
DEVON DAMPIERQB SERET
★3★391100%-3HELD
16
ISAIAH CHAVEZQB SERET
UNR—00%+37—
87
JUSTIN HOLADAYQB JURET
UNR—00%-52—
RYAN COOKQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
EMERY FLOYDQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
JAMES LAUBSTEINQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB54TAL53PERF55RET0ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
ELI SANDERSRB SEPORTAL · IOWA STATE
★3★39150%+18HELD
8
JAVEN JACOBSRB JUPORTAL · ARIZONA STATE
★3★37323%+32HELD
21
NAQUARI ROGERSRB SEPORTAL · CAMPBELL
★3★36818%+30HELD
30
SOL-JAY MAIAVA-PETERSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—538%+27—
2
ANDREW HENRYRB SERET
★3★300%+18HELD
27
JAYLEN MORGANRB SERET
★2—00%——
26
REI IWAIRB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
JOSH PERRYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE39TAL59PERF45RET76ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
LUKE WYSONGWR SERET
★3★39229%+18HELD
9
RYAN DAVISWR SERET
UNR—9229%+25—
85
TRACE BRUCKLERTE SERET
★3★38582%-22HELD
7
NIC TRUJILLOWR SERET
UNR★37617%+36EMERGED
88
CALEB MEDFORDWR SERET
★3★37316%+30HELD
17
MICHAEL BUCKLEYWR JURET
UNR—586%-10—
88
VINCENT SANTOSTE SERET
UNR—4916%——
1
SHAWN MILLERWR SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS
★3★3484%—HELD
83
EVERETT HUNTERTE SERET
★3★3142%—HELD
18
EVAN WYSONGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
MAGNUS GEERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
XAVIER VANWR JURET
★3—00%——
MATEO CONTRERASWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
TERRELL DAVISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
KADER DIOPWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
JACKSON EPESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL76TAL30PERF76RET11n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL17TAL49PERF17RET45n=9 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB20TAL7PERF20RET100n=3 · 11 METRICS · 28 OBS
▸DB36TAL63PERF36RET50n=11 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS2 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAKE TABARACCIHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
SA'KYLEE WOODARDHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN23 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NOAH AVINGERSAN DIEGO STATECB★3★3
DEVIN BRANDTOLD DOMINIONDLUNR★3
JAWAUN SINGLETARYGRAMBLINGIOLUNR★3
ISH BURDINETCUSUNR★3
TIREK AUSTIN-CAVEWEST VIRGINIALB★3★3
ANTOINEO HARRIS JR.INDIANA STATEEDGEUNR★3
DE'JON BENTONUSCDL★3★3
ELI SANDERSIOWA STATERB★3★3
ISAIAH JONESSYRACUSEWR★3★3
TEVIN SHAWHOUSTONIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
J.C. DAVISILLINOISOLUNR★4
DJ WINGFIELDPURDUEOLUNR★4
ZACH MORRISUTSACB★2★3
JERMARIUS LEWISUTSAS★3★3
DESNA WASHINGTONFLORIDA INTERNATIONALWR★3★3
HUNTER RAPOLLAUTEPDLUNRUNR
JACORY CROSKEY-MERRITTARIZONARBUNR★3
DEVON SMITHUL MONROEOLUNR★3
JOSH WILLIAMSONMURRAY STATESUNRUNR
CONNOR WITTHOFTDELAWARETE★2UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES74%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS73%16 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#201NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 5 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8335COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2826 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST26% BACK26th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG26% BACK26th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR11%11th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST50%50th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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