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HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|TONY SANCHEZ|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NEW MEXICO STATE130 FPICUSA · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
7FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
62%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
43%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-27IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1340 BC / 7
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-9ACTUALvs2.7-9.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-14.7
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE2
PERFORMANCE2
TALENT47
CONTINUITY62
DEFENSE4
PERFORMANCE4
TALENT31
CONTINUITY43
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
31MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE—W 23-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HLIBERTY—L 24-30374747-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AFRESNO STATE—L 0-48363737-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ASAM HOUSTON—L 11-31182727-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HNEW MEXICO—L 40-50151414-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 9AJACKSONVILLE STATE—L 13-5484545-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 15HLOUISIANA TECH—W 33-30261818-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10OCT 29AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 13-34201717-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 28-41234242-35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ATEXAS A&M—L 3-38969191-84BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 36-211922+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HUTEP—L 35-421233+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB12TAL37PERF12RET0ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
PARKER AWADQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—7151%-21—
18
SANTINO MARUCCIQB JUPORTAL · WAKE FOREST
★3★36635%-52HELD
11
BRANDON NUNEZQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—409%-58—
2
DEUCE HOGANQB SEPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★3★3316%-50HELD
10
JAKE MCNAMARAQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
23
JEFF DAVISONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
PAUL CIEREMANSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB55TAL52PERF55RET12ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
SETH MCGOWANRB SENO SNAPS
★4★39147%+28FELL
4
MIKE WASHINGTON JR.RB SEPORTAL · BUFFALO
★2★28638%-32HELD
8
MONTE WATKINSRB JURET
★4★4466%+32HELD
20
TIM GANSRB SERET
UNR—394%-32—
21
ISAIAH RUDISONRB SERET
UNR—292%——
16
LARENZO MCMILLANRB SERET
UNR—292%+35—
30
DAILAN GOODMANRB SORET
UNR—00%——
24
NOAH TRIPLETTRB SORET
UNR—00%——
34
DAVID BARELARB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
ROSCOE BURTONRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE16TAL33PERF16RET51ONE OWNERn=5 · 7 METRICS · 31 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
KORDELL DAVIDWR SERET
UNR—8725%-21—
7
TJ PRIDEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—8423%-10—
0
PJ JOHNSON IIIWR SERET
★3★38323%+27HELD
86
JERRY LYDIATTTE JURET
UNR—7349%-37—
12
JORDAN SMITHWR SERET
UNR★26912%+25EMERGED
15
ADAM PARKSTE JURET
★3★26129%—FELL
8
DONOVAN FAUPELWR SERET
★2★3618%-19ROSE
14
HUNTER TALLEYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—5623%——
3
JAHRIQUE LOWEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—514%——
5
LATRELL NEVILLEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3484%—HELD
81
ALLEN ORTIZWR SERET
UNR—332%——
82
KYLE MCNAMARAWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
36
ETHAN SINGLETONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
TREVOR STEPHENSTE JURET
★2—00%——
21
ISAIAH ABEYTAWR SORET
UNR—00%——
29
KADEN TREVINOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
49
NOAH ARMIJOTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
IZEYAH WRIGHTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
JAYDEN BELLWR JURET
★2—00%——
▸OL41TAL50PERF41RET82n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL23TAL23PERF23RET35n=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
▸LB26TAL52PERF26RET70n=5 · 11 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB33TAL31PERF33RET36n=8 · 6 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS7 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAKOBE CAMPBELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
IZEYAH WRIGHTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MALAKI TA'ASEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
MATEO RODRIGUEZHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
AMAUREY BROOKSHS RECRUITCBUNRUNR
TJ PRIDEHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
MAX DEANHS RECRUITPUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN13 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSIAH COXARIZONA STATES★3★3
DEUCE HOGANKENTUCKYQB★3★3
DA'MARCUS CROSBY IISAM HOUSTONSUNR★3
DAKERRIC HOBBSSAM HOUSTONCBUNR★3
NICK SESSIONOKLAHOMA STATES★3★3
JUSTIN BEADLESHOUSTONEDGE★3★3
NAKI FAHINAUNLVDL★3★3
SANTINO MARUCCIWAKE FORESTQB★3★3
MATT LAWSONNORTHWESTERNDL★3★3
KALE EDWARDSMONTANAEDGE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT44 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEYSHAUN ELLIOTTARIZONA STATELB★3★3
MYLES ROWSERARIZONA STATEDB★4★3
GABE PETERSONUTAH STATEDE★3★3
J.J. DERVILNORTHERN IOWAS★3★3
GABRIEL INIGUEZ JR.UTAH STATEDT★2★3
DION WILSON JR.SYRACUSEDL★3★3
DIEGO PAVIAVANDERBILTQBUNR★3
STERLING WEBBMISSOURIDT★2★3
JORDAN VINCENTUTAH STATESUNR★3
TORREN UNIONUTAH STATESUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES87%11 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS82%12 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#134NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 7 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8036COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1340 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST10% BACK10th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG10% BACK10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR82%82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST36%36th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE