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HOME›TEAMS›NORTHERN ILLINOIS›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|THOMAS HAMMOCK|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
NORTHERN ILLINOIS93 FPIMWC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
18FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-18IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#910 BC / 27
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-4ACTUALvs6.2-6.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD7-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.2
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AGEORGIA TECH—W 22-217726260BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HWYOMING—L 43-50134141-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AMICHIGAN#3L 10-63909898-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HMAINE—W 41-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 2HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 27-20172323+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ATOLEDO—W 22-20385757-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HBOWLING GREEN—W 34-26201515+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 39-38113636-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AKENT STATE—L 47-52182929-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HBALL STATE—W 30-29161818+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ABUFFALO—W 33-27102121+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 21-42234141-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4HKENT STATE—W 41-23182929-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
ETHAN HAMPTONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
ROCKY LOMBARDIQB SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN STATE
★3★300%—HELD
7
ANTHONY THOMPSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
RYAN YOSTQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
DUSTIN FLETCHERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
JEFFREY LOMAXQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET94NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
CLINT RATKOVICHRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
ERIN COLLINSRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
BRAXTON CHAPMANRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
JAY DUCKERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
21
HARRISON WAYLEERB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
ANTARIO BROWNRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
JULIUS BOLDENRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
49
BROCK LAMPEFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
0
MASON KINGRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
TRE HARBISONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
JORDAN NETTLESRB JURET
★3—00%——
43
BRETT BOSTADFB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
TAJHEEM LAWSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
MILES JOINERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
LIAM SORAGHANTE SERET
★3—00%——
15
COLE TUCKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
TRISTEN TEWESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
FABIAN MCCRAYWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
MOHAMED TOUREWR SORET
★3—00%——
9
TRAYVON RUDOLPHWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
89
DREW CASSENSTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
10
BILLY DOZIERWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
20
TYLER BRUECKNERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
TREY URWILERWR SONO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
3
TYRICE RICHIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
MESSIAH TRAVISWR SERET
★2—00%——
89
MITCHELL BRINKMANTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
1
FOTIS KOKOSIOULISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
JAKE NOVOTNYTE FRRET
★3—00%——
2
MICHAEL LOVEWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
87
BLAKE KOSINTE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
14
MASON PIERRE-ANTOINEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
89
LUKE MALLETTETE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
ALEX CRAWFORDWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTARIO BROWNHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TAJHEEM LAWSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
AKANIMO ASUQUOHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ETHAN HAMPTONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
GEORGE GUMBS JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LUKE PINNICKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JALONNIE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAVAUGHN BYRDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BRIAN WHITSEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DREW HOTHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROCKY LOMBARDIMICHIGAN STATEQB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WESTON KRAMERINDIANADL★2★2
JYRAN MITCHELLEASTERN KENTUCKYWR★3★3
DENNIS ROBINSONELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
DANIEL CRAWFORDELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
ROSS BOWERSELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
ANDREW HAIDETELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
MILES BAGGETTELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
NATHAN HARMANNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
J.D. HARRISNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
BRIANJAY ROSSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#91NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8144COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
119 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST52% BACK52th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG52% BACK52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE