SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTHERN ILLINOIS›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|THOMAS HAMMOCK|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NORTHERN ILLINOIS119 FPIMWC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
21FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
13%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#870 BC / 23
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.7-7.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.5
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE36
PERFORMANCE36
TALENT28
CONTINUITY13
DEFENSE2
PERFORMANCE2
TALENT32
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
29MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HEASTERN ILLINOIS—W 34-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10ATULSA—L 35-38403434-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HVANDERBILT—L 28-38593535-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AKENTUCKY—L 23-31818282-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ABALL STATE—L 38-44131313-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HTOLEDO—L 32-52433838-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 39-10203131-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AOHIO—L 17-24153535-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 22-35181515-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 24-213188-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HMIAMI (OH)—L 23-29202121-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HAKRON—L 12-443233+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB32TAL23PERF32RET66ROTATIONn=3 · 2 METRICS · 6 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
ETHAN HAMPTONQB SERET
★3★36341%-20HELD
13
NEVAN CREMASCOLIQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—5934%-42—
12
ROCKY LOMBARDIQB SERET
★3★35425%-20HELD
1
DUSTIN FLETCHERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
JEFFREY LOMAXQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾RB28TAL32PERF28RET86ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
HARRISON WAYLEERB SERET
★3★39146%+21HELD
1
ANTARIO BROWNRB SERET
★3—7321%+32—
22
JAIDEN CREDLERB JUNO SNAPS
★3★26113%-28FELL
0
MASON KINGRB SERET
UNR—518%-41—
49
BROCK LAMPEFB SERET
UNR—221%——
43
BRETT BOSTADFB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
TERRON KELLMANRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
NATHAN CASTORRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
25
CHRISTIAN NASHRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE41TAL26PERF40RET76ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
LIAM SORAGHANTE SERET
★3—9353%-11—
82
TRISTEN TEWESTE SERET
UNR—8640%-11—
15
COLE TUCKERWR SERET
★3—8630%+22—
8
KACPER RUTKIEWICZWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7522%+32—
19
SHEMAR THORNTONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—7118%+13—
9
FABIAN MCCRAYWR SERET
★3—6715%-10—
11
MESSIAH TRAVISWR SERET
★2—6111%+3—
5
JUSTIN LYNCHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—5711%——
10
BILLY DOZIERWR JURET
★2★2454%—HELD
80
MILES JOINERTE SERET
UNR—436%——
89
DREW CASSENSTE SERET
UNR★3232%—EMERGED
89
DANE PARDRIDGEWR SENO SNAPS
★2★2181%—HELD
16
JALEN JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
86
TREY URWILERWR SORET
★3★200%—FELL
6
KEYSHAUN PIPKINWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
89
KAYMAR MIMESTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
TRAYVON RUDOLPHWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
MASON PIERRE-ANTOINEWR FRRET
★3—00%——
20
TYLER BRUECKNERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
ALEX CRAWFORDWR FRRET
★2—00%——
17
ELI REEDWR FRTRUE FR
★2★200%—HELD
38
CHRIS STINSONTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL68TAL30PERF68RET33n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL36TAL19PERF36RET81n=11 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸LB21TAL47PERF21RET96n=4 · 10 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸DB25TAL39PERF25RET83n=11 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAIDEN CREDLEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAKE GASSAWAYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TERRON KELLMANHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
REGGIE JEANHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TREY PORTERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
NICHOLAS ALVARADOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JACOB FINLEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ABIATHAR CURRYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ROY WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
AMARIYUN KNIGHTENHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAY DUCKERMEMPHISRB★3★3
DILLON THOMASMISSOURI STATEDB★2UNR
LANCE DEVEAUX JR.ELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TYRICE RICHIEELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
ERIN COLLINSELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
CLINT RATKOVICHELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JALEN PINKNEYNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
ERIK ABRELLNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
ZHAMAINE MARCHNOT LISTEDCB★3—
JOSHUA EARLNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#87NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8088COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR33%33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR66%66th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST83%83th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE