SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2016 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTHWESTERN›2016TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2016 FINAL
BIG TEN|PAT FITZGERALD|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
NORTHWESTERN42 FPIB1G · 2016 SEASON
TALENT
67FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#520 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2016 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.5
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HWESTERN MICHIGAN#15L 21-22407777-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HILLINOIS STATE—L 7-9————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HDUKE—W 24-13653737+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HNEBRASKA—L 13-24817171-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AIOWA—W 38-31607171-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AMICHIGAN STATE—W 54-40846161-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HINDIANA—W 24-14615656-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AOHIO STATE#6L 20-24979393-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HWISCONSIN#9L 7-21738888-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12APURDUE—W 45-17501818+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AMINNESOTA—L 12-29578282-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HILLINOIS—W 42-21532626+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
CLAYTON THORSONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
MATT ALVITIQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
TJ GREENQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JUSTIN JACKSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
JOHN MOTEN IVRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
COREY ACKERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
AUSTON ANDERSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
CHAD HANAOKARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
JEREMY LARKINRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
AUSTIN CARRWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ANDREW SCANLANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
SOLOMON VAULTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
MACAN WILSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
CHARLIE FESSLERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
STEVEN REESEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
TRENT GOENSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
JELANI ROBERTSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
FLYNN NAGELWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
BENNETT SKOWRONEKWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
JACKSON TIRMONIAWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JACK TIRMONIAWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
COLE JOHNSONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
QUINN BAKERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
LLOYD YATESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEREMY LARKINHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RODERICK CAMPBELL JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TOMMY CARNIFAXHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
AIDAN SMITHHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JANGO GLACKINHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CAMERON KOLWICHHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
BEN SKOWRONEKHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
NIK URBANHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
RILEY LEESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JESSE MEYLERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT0 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#52NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8479COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODEST—2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHT—2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE