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HOME›TEAMS›OHIO STATE›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
BIG TEN|RYAN DAY|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
OHIO STATE#10 AP 2 FPIB1G · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#519 BC / 24
BC RATIO
82%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
11-1ACTUALvs11.2-0.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+21.8
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE89
PERFORMANCE89
TALENT91
CONTINUITY75
DEFENSE96
PERFORMANCE96
TALENT93
CONTINUITY84
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AINDIANA—W 23-3663131+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HYOUNGSTOWN STATE—W 35-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 63-10364545+53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ANOTRE DAME#14W 17-14939595+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HMARYLAND—W 37-17698585+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14APURDUE—W 41-7663232+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HPENN STATE#13W 20-12919797+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AWISCONSIN—W 24-10797878+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ARUTGERS—W 35-16565959+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HMICHIGAN STATE—W 38-3813434+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HMINNESOTA—W 37-3595353+45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AMICHIGAN#1L 24-3091100100-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29HMISSOURI#8L 3-14839393+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB59TAL95PERF59RET94ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KYLE MCCORDQB SERET
★5★48786%+18FELL
13
DEVIN BROWNQB JURET
★4★4408%+14HELD
3
LINCOLN KIENHOLZQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3336%—FELL
13
TRISTAN GEBBIAQB SEPORTAL · OREGON STATE
★4★300%+17FELL
16
MASON MAGGSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
CHAD RAYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB50TAL95PERF50RET95ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
TREVEYON HENDERSONRB SERET
★5—9269%+21—
3
MIYAN WILLIAMSRB SERET
★4—6017%+28—
7
DALLAN HAYDENRB SERET
★4★3478%-4FELL
21
EVAN PRYORRB SERET
★4★3385%-52FELL
1
CHIP TRAYANUMRB SERET
★4★300%-4FELL
26
CAYDEN SAUNDERSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
4
WILLTRELL HARTSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
20
TC CAFFEYRB JURET
UNR—00%+35—
▾WR/TE65TAL93PERF63RET91ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
CADE STOVERTE SERET
★4—9759%+14—
18
MARVIN HARRISON JR.WR JURET
★4—9430%+34—
3
JULIAN FLEMINGWR SERET
★5★48524%-31FELL
2
EMEKA EGBUKAWR SERET
★5—8121%+11—
88
GEE SCOTT JR.TE SERET
★4—7931%-49—
17
CARNELL TATEWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—6612%+8—
XAVIER JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—619%-3—
11
JOE ROYERTE SERET
★4★3425%—FELL
21
PATRICK GURDTE SERET
UNR★3373%—EMERGED
45
JELANI THURMANTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★3333%—FELL
4
JAYDEN BALLARDWR SERET
★4★3311%—FELL
0
BRANDON INNISSWR SENO SNAPS
★5—241%——
82
DAVID ADOLPHWR SERET
UNR—130%——
5
NOAH ROGERSWR SENO SNAPS
★4★4130%—HELD
1
BRYSON RODGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
81
SAM HARTTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
11
KOJO ANTWIWR JURET
★4★300%—FELL
85
BENNETT CHRISTIANTE SERET
★4—00%——
9
KYION GRAYESWR JURET
★4★300%—FELL
6
REIS STOCKSDALEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
ZAK HERBSTREITTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOOP MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
KAI SAUNDERSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
NOLAN BAUDOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
BRENNEN SCHRAMMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
JACE MIDDLETONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL73TAL91PERF73RET61n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL56TAL92PERF56RET96n=10 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸LB35TAL93PERF35RET99n=4 · 10 METRICS · 28 OBS
▸DB66TAL93PERF66RET66n=9 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON INNISSHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
JERMAINE MATHEWS JR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
NOAH ROGERSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CARNELL TATEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CALVIN SIMPSON-HUNTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JASON MOOREHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
LUKE MONTGOMERYHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JELANI THURMANHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
JOSHUA MICKENSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
MALIK HARTFORDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVISON IGBINOSUNOLE MISSCB★4★4
JA'HAD CARTERSYRACUSESUNR★4
JOSH SIMMONSSAN DIEGO STATEIOL★4★4
LORENZO STYLESNOTRE DAMEWRUNR★4
TYWONE MALONEOLE MISSDLUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAVONTAE JEAN-BAPTISTENOTRE DAMEDL★4★4
KALEB BROWNIOWAWR★4★3
TERADJA MITCHELLFLORIDALB★4★3
JAYLEN JOHNSONMEMPHISS★3UNR
RONNIE HICKMANELIGIBILITY UPS★4—
DAWAND JONESELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
TANNER MCCALISTERELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
ZACH HARRISONELIGIBILITY UPDE★5—
JK JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPDB★4—
CAMERON BROWNELIGIBILITY UPCB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES12%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS3%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#5NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
19OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9164COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
89 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR61%61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST66%66th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE