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HOME›TEAMS›OHIO STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG TEN|RYAN DAY|—RECORD14-2|CONF—
OHIO STATE#1 AP 3 FPIB1G · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
64%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
85%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-19IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#518 BC / 25
BC RATIO
79%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs11.3-0.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+24.6
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE99
PERFORMANCE99
TALENT93
CONTINUITY64
DEFENSE98
PERFORMANCE98
TALENT94
CONTINUITY85
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE16 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
7 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HAKRON—W 52-62688+92BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 56-0312222+78BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HMARSHALL—W 49-14425757+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AMICHIGAN STATE—W 38-7713333+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HIOWA—W 35-7728989+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AOREGON#3L 31-32969999+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HNEBRASKA—W 21-17846666+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2APENN STATE#5W 20-13939797+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HPURDUE—W 45-0741010+90BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ANORTHWESTERN—W 31-7612424+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HINDIANA#10W 38-15599292+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HMICHIGAN—L 10-13898181+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 21HTENNESSEE#9W 42-17889494+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 1AOREGON#3W 41-21969999+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 10ATEXAS#4W 28-14989595+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 20ANOTRE DAME#2W 34-23939595+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB75TAL97PERF75RET5ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
WILL HOWARDQB SEPORTAL · KANSAS STATE
★3★49492%+29ROSE
13
DEVIN BROWNQB JURET
★4★4335%-21HELD
10
JULIAN SAYINQB JUPORTAL · ALABAMA
★5★5263%—HELD
16
MASON MAGGSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
LINCOLN KIENHOLZQB JURET
★4★300%—FELL
11
AIR NOLANDQB SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
19
CHAD RAYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB68TAL98PERF68RET48ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
TREVEYON HENDERSONRB SERET
★5—9548%+21—
1
QUINSHON JUDKINSRB JUPORTAL · OLE MISS
★3★49242%+17ROSE
1
JAMES PEOPLESRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★36110%-7FELL
24
SAM DIXONRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3181%—HELD
20
TC CAFFEYRB JURET
UNR—00%+35—
26
CHASE BRECHTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
RASHID SESAYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE60TAL93PERF65RET61ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 39 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JEREMIAH SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★5★39629%+20FELL
2
EMEKA EGBUKAWR SERET
★5—9628%+18—
17
CARNELL TATEWR JURET
★4—9326%+18—
88
GEE SCOTT JR.TE SERET
★4—9241%-36—
89
WILL KACMAREKTE SEPORTAL · OHIO
UNR★37623%+17EMERGED
85
BENNETT CHRISTIANTE SERET
★4—6717%——
45
JELANI THURMANTE JURET
★4★36314%-24FELL
0
BRANDON INNISSWR SERET
★5—627%+14—
1
BRYSON RODGERSWR JURET
★4★3586%-58FELL
21
PATRICK GURDTE SERET
UNR★3403%—EMERGED
4
JAYDEN BALLARDWR SERET
★4★3372%+30FELL
11
KOJO ANTWIWR JURET
★4★3291%—FELL
82
DAVID ADOLPHWR SERET
UNR—291%——
88
MAXENCE LEBLANCTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—211%——
46
JACE MIDDLETONTE SERET
UNR—70%——
89
ZAK HERBSTREITTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MYLAN GRAHAMWR SONO SNAPS
★5★400%—FELL
6
REIS STOCKSDALEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOOP MITCHELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
DAMARION WITTENWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
80
SHAWN LODGEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
NOLAN BAUDOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
34
BRENNEN SCHRAMMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
DORIAN WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL69TAL91PERF69RET76n=8 · 3 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL71TAL90PERF71RET95n=12 · 7 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB70TAL97PERF70RET83n=4 · 10 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB68TAL95PERF68RET73n=9 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEREMIAH SMITHHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
EDDRICK HOUSTONHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
MYLAN GRAHAMHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
AARON SCOTT JR.HS RECRUITCB★5UNR
AIR NOLANDHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
BRYCE WESTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JAMES PEOPLESHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
GARRETT STOVERHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
DOMINIC KIRKSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
IAN MOOREHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALEB DOWNSALABAMAS★5★5
JULIAN SAYINALABAMAQB★5★5
QUINSHON JUDKINSOLE MISSRB★3★4
WILL HOWARDKANSAS STATEQB★3★4
SETH MCLAUGHLINALABAMAIOL★3★4
WILL KACMAREKOHIOTEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KYLE MCCORDSYRACUSEQB★5★4
JULIAN FLEMINGPENN STATEWR★5★4
JA'HAD CARTERNC STATESUNR★3
ENOKK VIMAHIWASHINGTONOL★4★3
JADEN MCKENZIEEAST CAROLINADL★3★3
JYAIRE BROWNLSUDB★4★3
JOE ROYERCINCINNATITE★4★3
DALLAN HAYDENCOLORADORB★4★3
OMARI ABORSMUDE★4★3
CAMERON MARTINEZBOSTON COLLEGEDB★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES60%9 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS64%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#5NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
18OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9146COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
726 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST32% BACK32th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG32% BACK32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR76%76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST73%73th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE