SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OLD DOMINION›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|RICKY RAHNE|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
OLD DOMINION105 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
28FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
14%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1060 BC / 14
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.9-8.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.1
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE29
PERFORMANCE29
TALENT49
CONTINUITY14
DEFENSE25
PERFORMANCE25
TALENT41
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
44MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HVIRGINIA TECH—W 20-17632525-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10AEAST CAROLINA—L 21-39424848-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AVIRGINIA—L 14-16582828-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HARKANSAS STATE—W 29-263719190BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HLIBERTY—L 24-3864444-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 49-21304848-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 23-28223333-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AGEORGIA STATE—L 17-31384040-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HMARSHALL—L 0-12315555-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HJAMES MADISON—L 3-3756262-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AAPP STATE—L 14-27335050-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 20-27377575-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB42TAL65PERF42RET99ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
HAYDEN WOLFFQB SERET
★3★39399%-10HELD
4
BRENDON CLARKQB SONO SNAPS
★3—111%——
8
D.J. MACK JR.QB SERET
UNR—00%-40—
14
DOMINIQUE ANTHONYQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
3
JACK SHIELDSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
15
TYLER STOTTQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB60TAL5PERF60RET92ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
BLAKE WATSONRB SERET
★2★29873%+12HELD
22
KESHAWN WICKSRB JURET
★2★26014%-46HELD
1
TARIQ SIMSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★3508%-57HELD
23
OBIE SANNIRB SERET
★2★2394%-10HELD
44
MATT GEIGERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
ELIJAH DAVISRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
JON-LUKE PEAKERRB SORET
★3—00%——
5
ALEX JREIGERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE41TAL50PERF43RET85ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
ALI JENNINGSWR SERET
★3★48923%+35ROSE
7
JAVON HARVEYWR SERET
★2★38823%+18ROSE
1
ISIAH PAIGEWR SERET
★2—7918%-50—
3
ISAIAH SPENCERTE SERET
★2—7638%-13—
9
DONTA ANTHONY JR.TE SERET
★2—7537%-33—
1
JORDAN BLYWR JURET
★3★37113%-20HELD
14
AHMARIAN GRANGERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★37013%-15HELD
80
ZACK KUNTZTE JURET
★4★46525%-7HELD
4
MARQUEZ BELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3545%-59HELD
3
MARQEESE DIETZWR SENO SNAPS
★2—432%——
0
PETER KIKWATAWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3412%—HELD
10
LEVI WENTZWR SERET
★3★3261%—HELD
16
AARON MOOREWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
87
BRAXTON COLLINSWR SORET
★3—00%——
17
MIKE HODGEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
NOAH ROBINSONWR SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
88
CURTIS NIXON IITE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
MATTHEW MANCINIWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
IOSEFA TANOAITE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
4
DOMINIC DUTTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
ISAIAH SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL47TAL47PERF47RET32n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL62TAL32PERF62RET85n=12 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
▸LB61TAL31PERF61RET96n=4 · 10 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB48TAL52PERF48RET76n=8 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PETER KIKWATAHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AHMARIAN GRANGERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TAJAE BROADIEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
RYAN NOLANHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JUDE BUCHANANHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MARIO EASTERLYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CARON MCNAIRHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JAYLON WHITE-MCCLAINHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
MAARTEN WOUDSMAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
MASON HOWARDHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SOKOYA MCDUFFIEUCONNDL★3UNR
COLT JACKSONWESTERN KENTUCKYOL★3UNR
NIGEL FITZGERALDUCONNWR★2★3
NICK RICEELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
HARRELL BLACKMONELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
WILL BROCCHINIELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
CORY JACKSONELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
STONE SMARTTELIGIBILITY UPQB★2—
JORDAN YOUNGELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
JOE JOE HEADENELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#106NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8275COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST91% BACK91th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG91% BACK91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR32%32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST76%76th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE