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HOME›TEAMS›PENN STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|JAMES FRANKLIN|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
PENN STATE#8 AP 4 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
86FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1511 BC / 22
BC RATIO
48%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs10.9-1.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+26.1
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HAKRON—W 52-02277+89BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HPITTSBURGH—W 33-14756363+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HGEORGIA STATE—W 56-0271313+83BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AIOWA—W 21-19647373+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HINDIANA—W 45-14557575+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ANORTHWESTERN#17W 31-7707979+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HMICHIGAN—W 42-13959090+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AOHIO STATE#5L 38-39999999-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AMICHIGAN STATE#15L 24-27788383+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HRUTGERS—W 35-6622727+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HNEBRASKA—W 56-44795252+44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AMARYLAND—W 66-3803333+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
BILLY FESSLERQB —RET
UNR—00%——
7
TOMMY STEVENSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
TRACE MCSORLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
MICHAEL SHUSTERQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
7
JAKE ZEMBIECQB —RET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
39
JOSH MCPHEARSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
26
SAQUON BARKLEYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
40
NICK EURYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
MILES SANDERSRB JURET
★5—00%——
6
ANDRE ROBINSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
8
MARK ALLENRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
JOHNATHAN THOMASRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
IRVIN CHARLESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
MIKE GESICKITE —RET
UNR—00%——
83
NICK BOWERSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JUWAN JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DAESEAN HAMILTONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
TOM PANCOASTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
13
SAEED BLACKNALLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
10
BRANDON POLKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
DEANDRE THOMPKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JONATHAN HOLLANDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
41
JOE ARCANGELOTE JURET
UNR—00%——
88
DAN CHISENAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
TYLER SHOOPWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
DANNY DALTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
ISAAC LUTZWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
COLTON MAXWELLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ALEX HOENSTINEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
WESTON CARRWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
BENJAMIN WILSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
CODY HODGENSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LAMONT WADEHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
CJ THORPEHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
SEAN CLIFFORDHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
YETUR GROSS-MATOSHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
FRED HANSARDHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
ELLIS BROOKSHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
JONATHAN SUTHERLANDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TARIQ CASTRO-FIELDSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DAMION BARBERHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
KJ HAMLERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS GODWINNFL DRAFT R3WRUNR—
DEREK DOWREYNOT LISTEDGUNR—
MALIK GOLDENNOT LISTEDSUNR—
EVAN SCHWANNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
NYEEM WARTMAN-WHITENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JORDAN SMITHNOT LISTEDCB★4—
BRANDON BELLNOT LISTEDLB★2—
GARRETT SICKELSNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
VON WALKERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOEY JULIUSNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#15NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
11OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8852COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST92% BACK92th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG92% BACK92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE