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HOME›TEAMS›PENN STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|JAMES FRANKLIN|—RECORD4-5|CONF—
PENN STATE24 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1514 BC / 26
BC RATIO
63%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-5ACTUALvs4.9-4.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE9 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24AINDIANA#12L 35-36638181+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HOHIO STATE#2L 25-3899100100-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HMARYLAND—L 19-35734646+42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14ANEBRASKA—L 23-30827474+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HIOWA#16L 21-41699191-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AMICHIGAN—W 27-17908080+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5ARUTGERS—W 23-7551717+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HMICHIGAN STATE—W 39-24763838+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19HILLINOIS—W 56-21723131+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
SEAN CLIFFORDQB SERET
★4—00%——
7
WILL LEVISQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
TA'QUAN ROBERSONQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
8
MICAH BOWENSQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET43NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
KEYVONE LEERB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
22
DEVYN FORDRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
26
CAZIAH HOLMESRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
37
JOSEPH BRUNORB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
21
NOAH CAINRB SERET
★4—00%——
4
JOURNEY BROWNRB JURET
★3—00%——
38
TANK SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DANIEL GEORGEWR SERET
★4—00%——
18
CAMERON SULLIVAN-BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JAHAN DOTSONWR JURET
★4—00%——
5
KEANDRE LAMBERT-SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
3
PARKER WASHINGTONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
84
THEO JOHNSONTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
86
BRENTON STRANGETE JURET
★4—00%——
85
ISAAC LUTZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
PAT FREIERMUTHTE JURET
★4—00%——
82
JUSTIN WELLERWR SERET
★2—00%——
80
ZACK KUNTZTE JURET
★4★400%—HELD
89
GRAYSON KLINETE SERET
UNR—00%——
29
HENRY FESSLERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
44
CAMERON PICAWR JURET
UNR—00%——
43
TREVOR BAKERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
17
MASON STAHLWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
44
TYLER WARRENTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
0
JOHN DUNMOREWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
3
T.J. JONESWR SERET
★2—00%——
84
BENJAMIN WILSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
ALEC BERGERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
MALICK MEIGAWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
47
TOMMY FRIBERGTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
83
JOHNNY CRISEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
6
NORVAL BLACKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CURTIS JACOBSHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
THEO JOHNSONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
ENZO JENNINGSHS RECRUITS★4UNR
CAZIAH HOLMESHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
COLE BREVARDHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
KEANDRE LAMBERT-SMITHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
COZIAH IZZARDHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
PARKER WASHINGTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KEYVONE LEEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JADEN DOTTINHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN SHORTERFLORIDAWR★5UNR
DANIEL JOSEPHNC STATEDL★4UNR
DJ BROWNLOUISIANA TECHDB★3UNR
MAC HIPPENHAMMERMIAMI (OH)WR★3UNR
C.J. HOLMESKENT STATESUNRUNR
ROBERT WINDSORNFL DRAFT R6DTUNR—
KJ HAMLERNFL DRAFT R2WR★4—
CAM BROWNNFL DRAFT R6LB★4—
YETUR GROSS-MATOSNFL DRAFT R2DE★4—
JOHN REIDNFL DRAFT R4CBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#15NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
14OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8953COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST82% BACK82th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG82% BACK82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE