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HOME›TEAMS›PENN STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG TEN|JAMES FRANKLIN|—RECORD13-3|CONF—
PENN STATE#5 AP 9 FPIB1G · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
85%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
78%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1516 BC / 26
BC RATIO
60%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
11-2ACTUALvs11.0-2.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE92
PERFORMANCE92
TALENT85
CONTINUITY85
DEFENSE93
PERFORMANCE93
TALENT85
CONTINUITY78
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE16 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AWEST VIRGINIA—W 34-12615252+45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HBOWLING GREEN—W 34-27174343+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HKENT STATE—W 56-0900+97BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HILLINOIS#16W 21-7557777+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HUCLA—W 27-11804444+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AUSC—W 33-30908383+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AWISCONSIN—W 28-13815656+41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HOHIO STATE#1L 13-2099100100-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HWASHINGTON—W 35-6755757+40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16APURDUE—W 49-10741010+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMINNESOTA—W 26-25688080+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HMARYLAND—W 44-7643636+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7AOREGON#3L 37-45969999-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 21HSMU#12W 38-10829292+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31ABOISE STATE#8W 31-14457979+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 9HNOTRE DAME#2L 24-27939595+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB80TAL98PERF81RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
DREW ALLARQB SERET
★5—9492%-6—
7
BEAU PRIBULAQB SERET
★3★4458%+32ROSE
17
ETHAN GRUNKEMEYERQB SONO SNAPS
★4★440%—HELD
14
JAXON SMOLIKQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
19
JACK LAMBERTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB61TAL94PERF61RET90ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
NICHOLAS SINGLETONRB SERET
★5—9745%+7—
13
KAYTRON ALLENRB SERET
★4—9745%-4—
20
COREY SMITHRB SONO SNAPS
★4★3444%+33FELL
25
QUINTON MARTIN JR.RB SONO SNAPS
★4—403%-63—
26
CAM WALLACERB JURET
★3★3383%-55HELD
34
TYLER HOLZWORTHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
AMIEL DAVISRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE58TAL81PERF55RET81ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
44
TYLER WARRENTE SERET
★3—10054%+46—
2
HARRISON WALLACE IIIWR SERET
★3★49433%+21ROSE
16
KHALIL DINKINSTE SERET
★3—8928%+13—
2
LIAM CLIFFORDWR SERET
★3—8123%+7—
5
OMARI EVANSWR SERET
★3★37921%+25HELD
3
JULIAN FLEMINGWR SEPORTAL · OHIO STATE
★5★47619%-35FELL
85
LUKE REYNOLDSTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★47014%-23HELD
2
TYLER JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3342%—HELD
87
ANDREW RAPPLEYEATE JURET
★4—322%——
19
TYSEER DENMARKWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3312%—HELD
88
JERRY CROSSTE JURET
★4★3301%—FELL
10
ANTHONY IVEYWR SERET
★4★3231%—FELL
18
JOEY SCHLAFFERTE SERET
★4★3221%—FELL
82
ETHAN BLACKWR JURET
UNR—130%——
89
FINN FURMANEKTE JURET
UNR—70%——
20
MEHKI FLOWERSWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
7
KADEN SAUNDERSWR JURET
★4★400%-44HELD
83
JAKE SPENCERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
36
FEYISAYO OLULEYEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JASON ESTRELLAWR JURET
UNR—00%——
19
JOSIAH BROWNWR FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
84
PETER GONZALEZWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
DONTE NASTASIWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
LOGAN CUNNINGHAMWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
AARON ENTERLINEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL52TAL83PERF52RET84n=8 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL79TAL86PERF79RET84n=11 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB65TAL86PERF65RET94n=5 · 10 METRICS · 30 OBS
▸DB67TAL83PERF67RET66n=9 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COOPER COUSINSHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
LUKE REYNOLDSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
QUINTON MARTIN JR.HS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ETHAN GRUNKEMEYERHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
LIAM ANDREWSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JON MITCHELLHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
GARRETT SEXTONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MYLACHI WILLIAMSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
MAX GRANVILLEHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
DEJUAN LANEHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
A.J. HARRISGEORGIACB★4★4
JULIAN FLEMINGOHIO STATEWR★5★4
NOLAN RUCCIWISCONSINOT★5★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEANDRE LAMBERT-SMITHAUBURNWR★4★4
DANTE CEPHASKANSAS STATEWR★3★3
JORDAN VAN DEN BERGGEORGIA TECHDLUNR★3
MALIK MCCLAINARIZONA STATEWR★4★3
KING MACKALABAMAS★4★3
MALICK MEIGACOASTAL CAROLINAWR★3★3
DAVON TOWNLEY JR.MISSOURI STATEDL★4UNR
CRISTIAN DRIVERMINNESOTAWR★4★4
HUNTER NOURZADNFL DRAFT R5OL★3—
OLUMUYIWA FASHANUNFL DRAFT R1OL★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES7%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS50%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#15NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
16OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9059COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
613 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST86% BACK86th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG86% BACK86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST66%66th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE