SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›PENN STATE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG TEN|JAMES FRANKLIN|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
PENN STATE16 FPIB1G · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1520 BC / 29
BC RATIO
63%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs8.6-3.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE77
PERFORMANCE77
TALENT85
CONTINUITY75
DEFENSE75
PERFORMANCE75
TALENT81
CONTINUITY67
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HNEVADA—W 46-11141515+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 34-0292121+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HVILLANOVA—W 52-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 27HOREGON#4L 24-30979898-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4AUCLA—L 37-42822828+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HNORTHWESTERN—L 21-22596363+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AIOWA#17L 24-25709292-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AOHIO STATE#5L 14-38999999-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HINDIANA#1L 24-2748100100-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AMICHIGAN STATE—W 28-10734040+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HNEBRASKA—W 37-10866666+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ARUTGERS—W 40-36624747+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27ACLEMSON—W 22-10967676+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB58TAL98PERF58RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
ETHAN GRUNKEMEYERQB SORET
★4★47453%+35HELD
15
DREW ALLARQB SERET
★5—7247%-2—
14
JAXON SMOLIKQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
BEKKEM KRITZAQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
19
JACK LAMBERTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB62TAL94PERF62RET99ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
KAYTRON ALLENRB SERET
★4—9651%+12—
10
NICHOLAS SINGLETONRB SERET
★5—8938%+7—
25
QUINTON MARTIN JR.RB SORET
★4—496%-42—
20
COREY SMITHRB SORET
★4★3403%+17FELL
26
CAM WALLACERB JURET
★3★3211%-53HELD
23
TIKEY HAYESRB FRTRUE FR
★4★3111%—FELL
34
TYLER HOLZWORTHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
AMIEL DAVISRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
JABREE COLEMANRB FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
▾WR/TE65TAL83PERF65RET56ROTATIONn=7 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
KHALIL DINKINSTE SERET
★3—8938%+10—
85
LUKE REYNOLDSTE JURET
★4★48533%-3HELD
8
TREBOR PENAWR SEPORTAL · SYRACUSE
★3★48532%+14ROSE
5
DEVONTE ROSSWR SEPORTAL · HUDSON VALLEY
★3★38128%+25HELD
87
ANDREW RAPPLEYEATE JURET
★4—8028%+10—
11
KYRON HUDSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—8027%-15—
6
KOBY HOWARDWR SONO SNAPS
★4—588%+15—
2
LIAM CLIFFORDWR SERET
★3—454%+9—
19
TYSEER DENMARKWR SORET
★3★3271%—HELD
89
FINN FURMANEKTE JURET
UNR—221%——
18
JOEY SCHLAFFERTE SERET
★4★390%—FELL
86
AARON ENTERLINEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
12
ANTHONY IVEYWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
7
KADEN SAUNDERSWR JURET
★4★400%-44HELD
19
JOSIAH BROWNWR FRRET
★4★300%—FELL
84
PETER GONZALEZWR SORET
★3—00%——
80
JEFF EXINOR JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
82
ETHAN BLACKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
DONTE NASTASIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
LYRICK SAMUELWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
88
ANDREW OLESHTE FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
6
MATTHEW OUTTENWR FRTRUE FR
★4★300%——
83
BRIAN KORTOVICHTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
MATT HENDERSONTE FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
31
LOGAN CUNNINGHAMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL67TAL82PERF67RET89n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL68TAL82PERF68RET68n=10 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB63TAL80PERF63RET41n=6 · 10 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB59TAL80PERF59RET79n=11 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALACHI GOODMANHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ANDREW OLESHHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
DARYUS DIXSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JAHMIR JOSEPHHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
CHAZ COLEMANHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
JABREE COLEMANHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
MATT OUTTENHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
YVAN KEMAJOUHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
LAVAR ARRINGTON IIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
MATT HENDERSONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AMARE CAMPBELLNORTH CAROLINALB★3★4
TREBOR PENASYRACUSEWR★3★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM MILLERRUTGERSDB★4★3
HARRISON WALLACE IIIOLE MISSWR★3★4
SMITH VILBERTNORTH CAROLINADL★3★4
JB NELSONKANSAS STATEOLUNR★3
OMARI EVANSWASHINGTONWR★3★3
TA'MERE ROBINSONUSCLB★4★3
TYRECE MILLSUCONNDBUNR★3
JON MITCHELLGEORGIA TECHCB★4★3
BEAU PRIBULAMISSOURIQB★3★4
JERRY CROSSMEMPHISTE★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES11%3 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS63%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#15NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
20OF 29 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8968COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
816 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST77% BACK77th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG77% BACK77th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR89%89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST79%79th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE