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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›RICE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE BLOOMGREN|—RECORD5-8|CONF—
RICE118 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
28FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
12%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1190 BC / 12
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs4.0-8.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.5
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE12
PERFORMANCE12
TALENT28
CONTINUITY12
DEFENSE11
PERFORMANCE11
TALENT27
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AUSC#12L 14-66939292-80BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HMCNEESE—W 52-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HLOUISIANA—W 33-21345252-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AHOUSTON—L 27-34585757-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HUAB—W 28-24294747-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 14-17493131-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ALOUISIANA TECH—W 42-413988+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HCHARLOTTE—L 23-56411010+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HUTEP—W 37-30102525-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 10-45425050-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HUTSA—L 7-41466464-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ANORTH TEXAS—L 17-21454444-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17ASOUTHERN MISS—L 24-38393939-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB37TAL20PERF37RET71ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
TJ MCMAHONQB SERET
UNR★27867%+24EMERGED
12
AJ PADGETTQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—5620%+27—
20
SHAWQI ITRAISHQB SERET
★3★34410%-38HELD
5
WILEY GREENQB JURET
★2—294%-38—
▾RB42TAL16PERF42RET74ROTATIONn=5 · 5 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
CAMERON MONTGOMERYRB SERET
★2—8128%+22—
5
ARI BROUSSARDRB SERET
UNR—8027%-3—
21
JUMA OTOVIANORB SERET
★3—6817%+2—
44
DEAN CONNORSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★36213%-11EMERGED
20
URIAH WESTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—5811%-8—
10
QUINTON JACKSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—282%——
44
GERON HARGONFB JURET
★3—00%——
26
CHRISTIAN FRANCISCORB JURET
UNR—00%——
35
MICHAEL AMICORB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE51TAL31PERF52RET62ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
JACK BRADLEYTE SERET
★3—9855%+52—
80
BRADLEY ROZNERWR SERET
UNR—9733%+29—
6
ISAIAH ESDALEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9429%-7—
10
LUKE MCCAFFREYWR JURET
★4★38825%+21FELL
88
BODEN GROENTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★37524%-32EMERGED
2
KOBIE CAMPBELLWR SERET
★3—629%+6—
42
TREY PHILLIPPITE SORET
★3—5913%+40—
86
CONNOR WELSHTE FRRET
UNR—518%——
11
TYSON THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—261%——
80
RAWSON MACNEILLWR SONO SNAPS
★3—261%——
4
CEDRIC PATTERSON IIIWR SERET
UNR—261%+26—
81
BRAYLEN WALKERWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★2170%—HELD
32
JERRY JOHNSON IIITE SERET
★2★3131%—ROSE
49
MICAH BARNETTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—131%——
82
GAVIN REINWALDTE SENO SNAPS
★2—70%-17—
14
NATE KAMPERTE FRRET
★3—40%——
1
JOVONI JOHNSON-MCCRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
BENNETT MECOMWR SORET
UNR—00%——
88
JAGGAR HEBEISENTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
9
SAM CRAWFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
CHRISTIAN EDGARWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
RYAN GUILLOWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ALEX SCHERLETE JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
89
CEMARION CHAMBLISSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL50TAL29PERF50RET11n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL66TAL22PERF66RET51n=7 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸LB70TAL16PERF70RET66n=4 · 11 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB46TAL36PERF46RET86n=10 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAWSON MACNEILLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAVION CARTERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TYSON FLOWERSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MIGUEL CEDENOHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
AJ PADGETTHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
CHIBBY NWAJUAKUHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DEMONE GREENHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
QUINTON JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRAD BAURHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DAVEON HOOKHS RECRUITS★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAEGER BULLWAKE FORESTTE★2UNR
JAKE BAILEYSMUWR★3UNR
DESMYN BAKERWESTERN KENTUCKYLBUNR★2
COLE GARCIAMASSACHUSETTSOL★2UNR
ANTONIO MONTEROELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
JORDAN MYERSELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
ELIJAH GARCIAELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
NAEEM SMITHELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JAKE CONSTANTINEELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
ISAIAH RICHARDSONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#119NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8221COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST39% BACK39th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG39% BACK39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR11%11th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR71%71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST86%86th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE