SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE BLOOMGREN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
RICE104 FPIAAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
28FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
65%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1220 BC / 13
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.0-7.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.3
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE17
PERFORMANCE17
TALENT52
CONTINUITY65
DEFENSE47
PERFORMANCE47
TALENT40
CONTINUITY84
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
46MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSAM HOUSTON—L 14-34182727-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HTEXAS SOUTHERN—W 69-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AHOUSTON—L 7-33532424-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AARMY#21L 14-3717373-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HCHARLOTTE—L 20-21531212+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HUTSA—W 29-27525353-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ATULANE—L 10-24556868-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AUCONN—L 10-17275050-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HNAVY—W 24-1015858-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AMEMPHIS#24L 20-27487777-58BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AUAB—L 14-40402020-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 35-28504141-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB77TAL45PERF77RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
E.J. WARNERQB SEPORTAL · TEMPLE
★3★39491%-7HELD
18
DREW DEVILLIERQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3489%-46HELD
10
CHASE JENKINSQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
20
SHAWQI ITRAISHQB SERET
★3★300%-44HELD
12
AJ PADGETTQB JURET
★3—00%-14—
▾RB53TAL27PERF53RET94ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
44
DEAN CONNORSRB SERET
UNR★39765%+19EMERGED
10
QUINTON JACKSONRB SERET
★3—7119%+9—
26
CHRISTIAN FRANCISCORB JURET
UNR—569%-47—
0
TAJI ATKINSRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3476%+32HELD
0
COLEMAN BENNETTRB SEPORTAL · BUCKNELL
UNR★250%—EMERGED
4
COLIN GIFFENFB JURET
★2—00%——
44
GERON HARGONFB JURET
★3—00%——
35
MICHAEL AMICORB SORET
UNR—00%——
20
DAELEN ALEXANDERRB JURET
★3★300%+37HELD
34
TREI KIBBLESRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
24
LARRY DEBOSE IVRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE43TAL44PERF41RET80ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
MATT SYKESWR SERET
★3★310035%-1HELD
81
BRAYLEN WALKERWR SERET
★2★29123%+8HELD
7
ELIJAH MOJARROTE SERET
★3—8542%-10—
2
KOBIE CAMPBELLWR SERET
★3—8519%-3—
16
GRAHAM WALKERTE SEPORTAL · BROWN
UNR★37630%+2EMERGED
18
DRAYDEN DICKMANNWR JURET
★3★3689%-50HELD
4
THAI CHIAOKHIAO-BOWMANWR JUPORTAL · FLORIDA
★3★3679%-12HELD
88
BODEN GROENTE SERET
UNR★36116%-8EMERGED
49
MICAH BARNETTTE SERET
UNR—509%——
11
TYSON THOMPSONWR SERET
UNR—503%-63—
86
JAMES FALKTE JURET
★3—343%——
1
JOVONI JOHNSON-MCCRAYWR SERET
UNR—331%-38—
88
JAGGAR HEBEISENTE JURET
★3★3141%—HELD
18
OWEN CARTERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—110%——
84
ETHAN POWELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
CHRISTIAN EDGARWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
MATT HALLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
RAWSON MACNEILLWR SORET
★3—00%+24—
85
JUSTIN WILLIAMS JR.WR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
22
RYAN GUILLOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
25
RHYS PHILLIPSTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
LANDON RANSOM-GOELZWR SORET
★3★300%+4HELD
89
JAKE DRAGOOWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
83
JACKSON RANUCCIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
SHAWN IRWINWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▸OL61TAL59PERF61RET69n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL58TAL25PERF58RET68n=9 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB58TAL38PERF58RET86n=6 · 11 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸DB53TAL48PERF53RET94n=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LAVONTE JOHNSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KALEB BLANTONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DREW DEVILLIERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BAILEY FLETCHERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LUKE MILLERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TAJI ATKINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
OWEN CARTERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LANE JEFFCOATHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
RHYS PHILLIPSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
EPHRAIM DOTSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN10 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHAD LINDBERGGEORGIAOT★4★3
E.J. WARNERTEMPLEQB★3★3
CHARLES LOOESDARTMOUTHEDGEUNR★3
MICHAEL DALEYBYUEDGE★3★3
SPENCER CASSELLHARVARDOTUNR★3
GRAHAM WALKERBROWNWRUNR★3
FAYBIAN MARKSUTAHCB★3★3
COLEMAN BENNETTBUCKNELLRBUNR★3
THAI CHIAOKHIAO-BOWMANFLORIDAWR★3★3
ALEX BACCHETTAPENN STATEP★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRE'SHON DEVONESDUKECB★3★3
DE'BRAYLON CARROLLTEXAS TECHDL★3★3
LUKE MCCAFFREYNFL DRAFT R3WR★4—
LAVEL DUMONTELIGIBILITY UPOL★3—
COLEMAN COCOELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
CLAY SERVINELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
JT DANIELSELIGIBILITY UPQB★5—
JACK BRADLEYELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
JUMA OTOVIANOELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
JORDAN CAMPBELLELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES43%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS35%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#122NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8319COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
103 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST51% BACK51th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG51% BACK51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR69%69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST94%94th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE