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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|CHRIS ASH|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
RUTGERS100 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
57FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#560 BC / 31
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs1.4-10.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-17.9
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HTEXAS STATE—W 35-791212+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8AOHIO STATE#3L 3-521009696-79BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AKANSAS—L 14-55482323-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HBUFFALO—L 13-42233737-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HINDIANA—L 17-24594747-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HILLINOIS—L 17-38582626-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AMARYLAND—L 7-34835555-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HNORTHWESTERN#21L 15-18694848-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AWISCONSIN—L 17-31758686-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HMICHIGAN#14L 7-42959393-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HPENN STATE#17L 7-20928989-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AMICHIGAN STATE—L 10-14767878-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET43NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
ARTUR SITKOWSKIQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
AUSTIN ALBERICCIQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
GIOVANNI RESCIGNOQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
ROB NITTOLOQB —RET
UNR—00%——
3
JALEN CHATMANQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET12NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
CHARLES SNORWEAHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
1
ISAIH PACHECORB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
ELIJAH BARNWELLRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
RAHEEM BLACKSHEARRB JURET
★3—00%——
23
JONATHAN HILLIMANRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
MAX ANTHONYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
3
TREY SNEEDRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
PARKER DAYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
JOSEPH HAYFORDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
EDDIE LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
BO MELTONWR SERET
★4—00%——
85
DAEVON ROBINSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
SHAMEEN JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
TRAVIS VOKOLEKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JEROME WASHINGTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
NAKIA GRIFFIN-STEWARTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
MOHAMED JABBIEWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
PRINCE TAYLORWR JURET
UNR—00%——
5
EVERETT WORMLEYWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
7
HUNTER HAYEKWR JURET
★2—00%——
36
RYAN DOWNERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
ZIHIR LACEWELLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
84
COLE MURPHYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JOHNATHAN LEWISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
TYLER HAYEKWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
48
RYAN CASSIDYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
RICH MCDONALDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
JAVIS HANKSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ARTUR SITKOWSKIHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DAEVON ROBINSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ZIHIR LACEWELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JALEN JORDANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISAIH PACHECOHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
EDDIE LEWISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RAIQWON O'NEALHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
PAUL WOODSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MATTHEW THOMASHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
REGGIE SUTTONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JIMMY HOGANTEMPLEDEUNRUNR
SEBASTIAN JOSEPHNFL DRAFT R6DLUNR—
KEMOKO TURAYNFL DRAFT R2DEUNR—
MARCUS APPLEFIELDELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
DAMON MITCHELLNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
GUS EDWARDSNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
ZANE CAMPBELLNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
BRANDON RUSSELLNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ERIC WIAFENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
ZACH ALLENNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#56NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8420COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST41% BACK41th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG41% BACK41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR43%43th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE