SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SAN DIEGO STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
PAC-12|BRADY HOKE|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
SAN DIEGO STATE88 FPIPAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
18FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#650 BC / 18
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.4-5.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE12
PERFORMANCE12
TALENT60
CONTINUITY11
DEFENSE62
PERFORMANCE62
TALENT47
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HARIZONA—L 20-38664141-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HIDAHO STATE—W 38-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17AUTAH#10L 7-35779393-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HTOLEDO—W 17-14433838-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ABOISE STATE—L 13-35486161-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HHAWAI'I—W 16-142622+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22ANEVADA—W 23-72444+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AFRESNO STATE#24L 28-32445555-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HUNLV—W 14-10152222+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 43-27253737-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ANEW MEXICO—W 34-101211+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HAIR FORCE—L 3-1305656-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 24HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 23-25263232+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB41TAL81PERF41RET70ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
JALEN MAYDENQB SERET
★4★47468%+30HELD
5
BRAXTON BURMEISTERQB SENO SNAPS
★4—5622%-28—
12
KYLE CRUMQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3325%—HELD
14
WILLIAM HASKELLQB SORET
★3★3182%—HELD
4
LIU AUMAVAEQB FRTRUE FR
★3★2162%—FELL
17
MARSHALL EUCKERQB SORET
★3—00%——
10
TOBIN O'DELLQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
DJ RALPHQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB25TAL45PERF25RET61ROTATIONn=5 · 5 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JORDAN BYRDRB SERET
★3—7931%-6—
8
KENAN CHRISTON IIRB SENO SNAPS
★4—7324%+31—
21
CHANCE BELLRB SERET
★3—6720%-21—
29
CAM DAVISRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★35611%-48HELD
2
JAYLON ARMSTEADRB SERET
★3★35410%+2HELD
13
MARTIN BLAKERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—323%——
20
SHELDON CANLEY IIRB FRTRUE FR
★3★391%—HELD
7
LUCKY SUTTONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—50%——
30
LUCKY AVINGERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
NICK GARDINERARB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
SAM CAMPOSECORB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE32TAL51PERF33RET67ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 36 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
MARK REDMANTE SENO SNAPS
★4★49870%-13HELD
45
JESSE MATTHEWSWR SERET
UNR—9432%-13—
14
TYRELL SHAVERSWR SERET
★4★39331%+5FELL
83
MEKHI SHAWWR SERET
UNR—7620%-3—
10
BRIONNE PENNYWR SERET
★3★36411%+20HELD
82
JAY RUDOLPHTE SERET
★3★36016%—HELD
94
AARON GREENETE SORET
★2★25110%—HELD
85
JOSHUA NICHOLSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3443%—HELD
84
DARIUS DE LOS REYESWR JURET
★3—382%——
9
CAMERON HARPOLETE SENO SNAPS
★3★3313%—HELD
19
LOGAN TANNERTE SONO SNAPS
★3★3141%—HELD
14
PHILLIPPE WESLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3100%—HELD
17
GUS MCGEETE SENO SNAPS
★3★340%—HELD
80
TJ SULLIVANWR SERET
★2—00%——
86
RONALD GILLIAMWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
16
CASSIUS SAVAGEWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
47
J.P. MURPHYTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
HASSAN MAHASINWR SONO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
88
JACOBY KELLYWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
27
D'ANDRE EDWARDSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
37
DARIUS HYDEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
MIKEY WELSHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL43TAL68PERF43RET22n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL56TAL16PERF56RET76n=6 · 8 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸LB43TAL42PERF43RET71n=5 · 11 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸DB39TAL62PERF39RET84n=8 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LUCKY SUTTONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HASSAN MAHASINHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JACOBY KELLYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSH HUNTERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MAX GARRISONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
LOGAN TANNERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
LAAKEA KAPOIHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SHELDON CANLEY IIHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHRIS JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
RYAN HENDERSONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KOBY DURUMCNEESEWR★2UNR
ELIJAH KOTHEELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
ETHAN DEDEAUXELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
GREG BELLELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
JORDON BROOKSHIREELIGIBILITY UPQB★2—
SEGUN OLUBIELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KAEGUN WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
ANDREW ALEKIELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BJ BUSBEEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JALIL LECKYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#65NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8466COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST24% BACK24th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG24% BACK24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR22%22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE